Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBohemians to win ✗69% · @1.36
Double chanceBohemians or draw ✗90% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.68
Bohemians vs Sligo Rovers preview and prediction
The match
Sligo Rovers travel to Dalymount Park in the Premier Division on Friday 10 April (19:45 WAT) to face Bohemians. Bohemians are 2nd with 65 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Sligo Rovers sit 10th on 25 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 40 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Bohemians's last 5: DDDDW Most recently they drew with Waterford 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sligo Rovers's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Derry City 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Bohemians arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.8 for Bohemians and 0.5 for Sligo Rovers. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 52%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 2.10 – 52% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.42, above our fair price of 1.37, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Bohemians 1–0 Sligo Rovers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bohemians69%fair 1.45 · @1.36
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @4.55
Sligo Rovers10%fair 10.44 · @8.90
2.34Expected goals
1.82Bohemians xG
0.52Sligo Rovers xG
52%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–016%
3–010%
0–010%
1–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Bohemians 1.8 – 0.5 Sligo Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bohemians to win✗
69%
1.45
1.36
Double chance
Bohemians or draw✗
90%
1.11
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
2.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.42
Half-time result
Bohemians ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bohemians / FT Bohemians✗
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.68
–
Form
Bohemians – last 6
DDDDWW
6 Apr
vs Waterford
1–1
D
3 Apr
@ Drogheda United
0–0
D
20 Mar
vs Dundalk
1–1
D
16 Mar
@ Shelbourne
0–0
D
13 Mar
vs Galway United
1–0
W
6 Mar
@ Waterford
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Sligo Rovers – last 6
DLLLLD
6 Apr
vs Derry City
0–0
D
3 Apr
@ St Patrick's Athl.
1–4
L
16 Mar
@ Dundalk
0–1
L
13 Mar
vs Shamrock Rovers
0–2
L
27 Feb
@ Galway United
0–1
L
20 Feb
@ Waterford
0–0
D
0.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bohemians and Sligo Rovers.
What is the prediction for Bohemians vs Sligo Rovers?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Bohemians vs Sligo Rovers?
On our numbers Bohemians have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sligo Rovers 10%.
How many goals will there be in Bohemians vs Sligo Rovers?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bohemians vs Sligo Rovers?
Our predicted score is Bohemians 1–0 Sligo Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Bohemians vs Sligo Rovers?
Bohemians vs Sligo Rovers (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Dalymount Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
