Value bet: St Patrick's Athl. to win @ 1.69 – our chance 63% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSt Patrick's Athl. to win ✓63% · @1.69
Double chanceSt Patrick's Athl. or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Waterford vs St Patrick's Athl. preview and prediction
The match
The Premier Division sees Waterford take on St Patrick's Athl. on Friday 20 March, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at Regional Sports Centre. Waterford are 7th with 43 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while St Patrick's Athl. sit 3rd on 60 points (in the top four). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Waterford's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Galway United 3–4 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded.
St Patrick's Athl.'s last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Derry City 0–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
St Patrick's Athl. arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.8 for Waterford and 1.9 for St Patrick's Athl.. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Waterford 17%, draw 20%, St Patrick's Athl. 63%.
Safer route: St Patrick's Athl. or draw (83%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.80.
Value angle: St Patrick's Athl. to win at 1.69 – 63% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Waterford 0–2 St Patrick's Athl.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Waterford17%fair 6.05 · @4.90
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.60
St Patrick's Athl.63%fair 1.58 · @1.69
2.75Expected goals
0.84Waterford xG
1.91St Patrick's Athl. xG
54%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
0–06%
From our goals model: Waterford 0.8 – 1.9 St Patrick's Athl. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
St Patrick's Athl. to win✓
63%
1.58
1.69 ▲
Double chance
St Patrick's Athl. or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.33
Half-time result
St Patrick's Athl. ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT St Patrick's Athl. / FT St Patrick's Athl.✓
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.20
–
Form
Waterford – last 5
LLLDL
16 Mar
@ Galway United
3–4
L
6 Mar
vs Bohemians
0–1
L
27 Feb
@ Derry City
2–4
L
20 Feb
vs Sligo Rovers
0–0
D
13 Feb
@ Drogheda United
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
St Patrick's Athl. – last 6
DWWWWL
16 Mar
vs Derry City
0–0
D
13 Mar
vs Drogheda United
4–1
W
6 Mar
@ Shelbourne
3–2
W
2 Mar
vs Galway United
1–0
W
27 Feb
vs Dundalk
4–0
W
20 Feb
@ Shamrock Rovers
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Waterford and St Patrick's Athl..
What is the prediction for Waterford vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Waterford vs St Patrick's Athl.?
On our numbers Waterford have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 20% and St Patrick's Athl. 63%.
How many goals will there be in Waterford vs St Patrick's Athl.?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Waterford vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Our predicted score is Waterford 0–2 St Patrick's Athl., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Waterford vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Waterford vs St Patrick's Athl. (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Regional Sports Centre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
