Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.72 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.72Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBohemians to win ✗67% · @1.72
Double chanceBohemians or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.66
Bohemians vs Dundalk preview and prediction
The match
Dundalk travel to Dalymount Park in the Premier Division on Friday 20 March (21:00 WAT) to face Bohemians. Bohemians are 2nd with 65 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Dundalk sit 6th on 45 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Bohemians's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Shelbourne 0–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.4 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Dundalk's last 5: WDLDD Most recently they beat Sligo Rovers 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Bohemians arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.6 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Bohemians and 0.7 for Dundalk. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 49%.
Our pre-match pick was Bohemians to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.72, above our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Bohemians 1–0 Dundalk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bohemians67%fair 1.49 · @1.72
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @3.55
Dundalk13%fair 7.71 · @4.80
2.52Expected goals
1.87Bohemians xG
0.65Dundalk xG
49%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Bohemians 1.9 – 0.7 Dundalk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bohemians to win✗
67%
1.49
1.72 ▲
Double chance
Bohemians or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Half-time result
Bohemians ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bohemians / FT Bohemians✗
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.66
–
Form
Bohemians – last 5
DWWWW
16 Mar
@ Shelbourne
0–0
D
13 Mar
vs Galway United
1–0
W
6 Mar
@ Waterford
1–0
W
27 Feb
vs Shamrock Rovers
3–2
W
20 Feb
@ Derry City
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Dundalk – last 6
WDLDDD
16 Mar
vs Sligo Rovers
1–0
W
6 Mar
@ Galway United
2–2
D
27 Feb
@ St Patrick's Athl.
0–4
L
23 Feb
@ Shamrock Rovers
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Drogheda United
1–1
D
13 Feb
@ Derry City
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bohemians and Dundalk.
Our pick is Bohemians to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.72.
Who will win Bohemians vs Dundalk?
On our numbers Bohemians have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Dundalk 13%.
How many goals will there be in Bohemians vs Dundalk?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bohemians vs Dundalk?
Our predicted score is Bohemians 1–0 Dundalk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Bohemians vs Dundalk?
Bohemians vs Dundalk (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Dalymount Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.