Derry City vs Drogheda United preview and prediction
The match
Derry City host Drogheda United in the Premier Division on Friday 20 March, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT) at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium. Derry City are 5th with 48 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Drogheda United sit 9th on 40 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Derry City's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with St Patrick's Athl. 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Drogheda United's last 5: DLLDW Most recently they drew with Shamrock Rovers 0–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.4 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Derry City and 0.7 for Drogheda United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Derry City 66%, draw 21%, Drogheda United 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.90.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Derry City 1–0 Drogheda United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Derry City66%fair 1.52 · @1.56
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.90
Drogheda United13%fair 7.42 · @5.90
2.54Expected goals
1.85Derry City xG
0.69Drogheda United xG
54%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Derry City 1.9 – 0.7 Drogheda United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Derry City to win✗
66%
1.52
1.56
Double chance
Derry City or draw✓
87%
1.16
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.90
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.33
Half-time result
Derry City ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Derry City / FT Derry City✗
41%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.76
–
Form
Derry City – last 6
DLLWLD
16 Mar
@ St Patrick's Athl.
0–0
D
13 Mar
vs Shelbourne
1–2
L
6 Mar
@ Shamrock Rovers
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs Waterford
4–2
W
20 Feb
vs Bohemians
0–1
L
13 Feb
vs Dundalk
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Drogheda United – last 5
DLLDW
16 Mar
vs Shamrock Rovers
0–0
D
13 Mar
@ St Patrick's Athl.
1–4
L
27 Feb
vs Shelbourne
1–2
L
20 Feb
@ Dundalk
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Waterford
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Derry City and Drogheda United.
What is the prediction for Derry City vs Drogheda United?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Derry City vs Drogheda United?
On our numbers Derry City have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Drogheda United 13%.
How many goals will there be in Derry City vs Drogheda United?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Derry City vs Drogheda United?
Our predicted score is Derry City 1–0 Drogheda United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Derry City vs Drogheda United?
Derry City vs Drogheda United (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
