Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.28Odds
1
Value bet: Waterford to win @ 1.93 – our chance 64% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultWaterford to win ✗64% · @1.93
Double chanceWaterford or draw ✓85% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.66
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.14
Waterford vs Sligo Rovers preview and prediction
The match
The Premier Division sees Waterford take on Sligo Rovers on Friday 20 February, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at Regional Sports Centre. Waterford are 7th with 43 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Sligo Rovers sit 10th on 25 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Waterford and 0.8 for Sligo Rovers. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Waterford to win at 1.93 – 64% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Waterford or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.28, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Waterford 1–0 Sligo Rovers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Waterford64%fair 1.57 · @1.93
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.40
Sligo Rovers15%fair 6.73 · @3.50
2.76Expected goals
1.95Waterford xG
0.82Sligo Rovers xG
55%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Waterford 1.9 – 0.8 Sligo Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Waterford to win✗
64%
1.57
1.93 ▲
Double chance
Waterford or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.28 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.66
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.24
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Half-time result
Waterford ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Waterford / FT Waterford✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.14
–
Form
Waterford – last 1
L
13 Feb
@ Drogheda United
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Sligo Rovers
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Waterford and Sligo Rovers.
What is the prediction for Waterford vs Sligo Rovers?
Our pick is Waterford or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Waterford vs Sligo Rovers?
On our numbers Waterford have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sligo Rovers 15%.
How many goals will there be in Waterford vs Sligo Rovers?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Waterford vs Sligo Rovers?
Our predicted score is Waterford 1–0 Sligo Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Waterford vs Sligo Rovers?
Waterford vs Sligo Rovers (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Regional Sports Centre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
