Value bet: Drogheda United to win @ 3.40 – our chance 37% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDundalk to win ✗39% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.94
Dundalk vs Drogheda United preview and prediction
The match
Drogheda United travel to Oriel Park in the Premier Division on Friday 20 February (21:00 WAT) to face Dundalk. Dundalk are 6th with 45 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Drogheda United sit 9th on 40 points (in the bottom three).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Dundalk and 1.2 for Drogheda United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dundalk 39%, draw 24%, Drogheda United 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.90.
Value angle: Drogheda United to win at 3.40 – 37% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.24. Predicted score: Dundalk 1–1 Drogheda United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dundalk39%fair 2.56 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.20
Drogheda United37%fair 2.70 · @3.40
2.38Expected goals
1.21Dundalk xG
1.17Drogheda United xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Dundalk 1.2 – 1.2 Drogheda United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dundalk to win✗
39%
2.56
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.90
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.24
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dundalk / FT Dundalk✗
21%
4.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.94
–
Form
Dundalk – last 1
D
13 Feb
@ Derry City
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Drogheda United – last 1
W
13 Feb
vs Waterford
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dundalk and Drogheda United.
What is the prediction for Dundalk vs Drogheda United?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Dundalk vs Drogheda United?
On our numbers Dundalk have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Drogheda United 37%.
How many goals will there be in Dundalk vs Drogheda United?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dundalk vs Drogheda United?
Our predicted score is Dundalk 1–1 Drogheda United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Dundalk vs Drogheda United?
Dundalk vs Drogheda United (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Oriel Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
