Value bet: Bohemians to win @ 3.25 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDerry City to win ✗44% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.34
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.17
Derry City vs Bohemians preview and prediction
The match
Derry City host Bohemians in the Premier Division on Friday 20 February, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT) at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium. Derry City are 5th with 48 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Bohemians sit 2nd on 65 points (in the top four). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Derry City and 1.2 for Bohemians. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Derry City 44%, draw 23%, Bohemians 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Bohemians to win at 3.25 – 33% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.21. Predicted score: Derry City 1–1 Bohemians. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Derry City44%fair 2.25 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.00
Bohemians33%fair 3.04 · @3.25
2.55Expected goals
1.40Derry City xG
1.15Bohemians xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Derry City 1.4 – 1.2 Bohemians expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Derry City to win✗
44%
2.25
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.34
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.93 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.39
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.58
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.21
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Derry City / FT Derry City✗
25%
4.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.17
–
Form
Derry City – last 1
D
13 Feb
vs Dundalk
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Bohemians
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Derry City and Bohemians.
What is the prediction for Derry City vs Bohemians?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Derry City vs Bohemians?
On our numbers Derry City have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bohemians 33%.
How many goals will there be in Derry City vs Bohemians?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Derry City vs Bohemians?
Our predicted score is Derry City 1–1 Bohemians, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Derry City vs Bohemians?
Derry City vs Bohemians (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
