Double chanceGuadalajara Chivas or draw ✓90% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.20
Guadalajara Chivas vs Santos Laguna preview and prediction
The match
The Liga MX sees Guadalajara Chivas take on Santos Laguna on Sunday 15 March, kicking off at 00:07 (WAT) at Estadio Akron. Guadalajara Chivas are 3rd with 30 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Santos Laguna sit 6th on 25 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Guadalajara Chivas's last 4: WLLW Most recently they beat Atlas 2–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Santos Laguna's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Club Tijuana 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.4 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Guadalajara Chivas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.3 for Guadalajara Chivas and 0.8 for Santos Laguna. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Guadalajara Chivas to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Guadalajara Chivas 2–0 Santos Laguna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Guadalajara Chivas70%fair 1.43 · @1.20
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @6.00
Santos Laguna10%fair 9.73 · @10.00
3.04Expected goals
2.26Guadalajara Chivas xG
0.78Santos Laguna xG
58%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Guadalajara Chivas 2.3 – 0.8 Santos Laguna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guadalajara Chivas to win✓
70%
1.43
1.20
Double chance
Guadalajara Chivas or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Guadalajara Chivas ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guadalajara Chivas / FT Guadalajara Chivas✓
47%
2.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.20
–
Form
Guadalajara Chivas – last 4
WLLW
8 Mar
@ Atlas
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Toluca
0–2
L
22 Feb
@ Cruz Azul
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Club America
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Santos Laguna – last 5
WLDLL
9 Mar
@ Club Tijuana
2–1
W
4 Mar
vs Cruz Azul
1–2
L
28 Feb
@ Club Queretaro
2–2
D
22 Feb
@ Leon
1–2
L
16 Feb
vs Mazatlán
1–2
L
1.4Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guadalajara Chivas and Santos Laguna.
What is the prediction for Guadalajara Chivas vs Santos Laguna?
Our pick is Guadalajara Chivas to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Guadalajara Chivas vs Santos Laguna?
On our numbers Guadalajara Chivas have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Santos Laguna 10%.
How many goals will there be in Guadalajara Chivas vs Santos Laguna?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guadalajara Chivas vs Santos Laguna?
Our predicted score is Guadalajara Chivas 2–0 Santos Laguna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Guadalajara Chivas vs Santos Laguna?
Guadalajara Chivas vs Santos Laguna (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 00:07 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Akron.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
