Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Tigres UANL to win @ 1.93 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTigres UANL to win ✓58% · @1.93
Double chanceTigres UANL or draw ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓10% · fair 9.94
Tigres UANL vs Monterrey preview and prediction
The match
Tigres UANL host Monterrey in the Liga MX on Sunday 8 March, with kick-off at 04:00 (WAT) at Estadio Universitario (UANL). Tigres UANL are 15th with 15 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Monterrey sit 10th on 21 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Tigres UANL's last 4: LWLL Most recently they lost to Puebla 1–3 away. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Monterrey's last 4: WLLW Most recently they beat Club Queretaro 4–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Monterrey arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for Tigres UANL and 1.0 for Monterrey. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations.
Value angle: Tigres UANL to win at 1.93 – 58% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tigres UANL or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Tigres UANL 1–1 Monterrey. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tigres UANL58%fair 1.72 · @1.93
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.50
Monterrey21%fair 4.85 · @3.75
2.94Expected goals
1.91Tigres UANL xG
1.04Monterrey xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Tigres UANL 1.9 – 1.0 Monterrey expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tigres UANL to win✓
58%
1.72
1.93 ▲
Double chance
Tigres UANL or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.38
Half-time result
Tigres UANL ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tigres UANL / FT Tigres UANL✗
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
10%
9.94
–
Form
Tigres UANL – last 4
LWLL
5 Mar
@ Puebla
1–3
L
1 Mar
@ Club America
4–1
W
21 Feb
vs Pachuca
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Cruz Azul
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Monterrey – last 4
WLLW
5 Mar
vs Club Queretaro
4–0
W
1 Mar
vs Cruz Azul
0–2
L
23 Feb
@ U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Leon
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tigres UANL and Monterrey.
What is the prediction for Tigres UANL vs Monterrey?
Our pick is Tigres UANL or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Tigres UANL vs Monterrey?
On our numbers Tigres UANL have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Monterrey 21%.
How many goals will there be in Tigres UANL vs Monterrey?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tigres UANL vs Monterrey?
Our predicted score is Tigres UANL 1–1 Monterrey, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Tigres UANL vs Monterrey?
Tigres UANL vs Monterrey (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Universitario (UANL).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
