Value bet: Atlas to win @ 3.50 – our chance 38% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +32%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Juarez to win ✓38% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.88
FC Juarez vs Atlas preview and prediction
The match
FC Juarez host Atlas in the Liga MX on Saturday 28 February, with kick-off at 04:00 (WAT) at Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez. FC Juarez are 18th with 11 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Atlas sit 5th on 27 points (in the top half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for FC Juarez and 1.4 for Atlas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Juarez 38%, draw 24%, Atlas 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Atlas to win at 3.50 – 38% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: FC Juarez 1–1 Atlas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Juarez38%fair 2.60 · @2.08
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.30
Atlas38%fair 2.65 · @3.50
2.85Expected goals
1.43FC Juarez xG
1.42Atlas xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–18%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: FC Juarez 1.4 – 1.4 Atlas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Juarez to win✓
38%
2.60
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
2.05
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Juarez / FT FC Juarez✓
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.88
–
Form
FC Juarez – last 1
L
15 Feb
vs Necaxa
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Atlas – last 2
WL
22 Feb
vs Atletico San Luis
3–2
W
15 Feb
@ Pachuca
1–3
L
2.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Juarez and Atlas.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win FC Juarez vs Atlas?
On our numbers FC Juarez have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atlas 38%.
How many goals will there be in FC Juarez vs Atlas?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Juarez vs Atlas?
Our predicted score is FC Juarez 1–1 Atlas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is FC Juarez vs Atlas?
FC Juarez vs Atlas (Liga MX) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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