Pachuca travel to Estadio de Mazatlan in the Liga MX on Saturday 28 February (02:00 WAT) to face Mazatlán.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Mazatlán and 1.5 for Pachuca. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mazatlán 30%, draw 22%, Pachuca 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Mazatlán 1–1 Pachuca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mazatlán30%fair 3.31 · @3.40
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.30
Pachuca48%fair 2.09 · @2.10
2.65Expected goals
1.13Mazatlán xG
1.51Pachuca xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Mazatlán 1.1 – 1.5 Pachuca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pachuca to win✗
48%
2.09
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pachuca / FT Pachuca✗
27%
3.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.87
–
Form
Mazatlán – last 2
DW
22 Feb
@ Club Tijuana
1–1
D
16 Feb
@ Santos Laguna
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Pachuca – last 2
WW
21 Feb
@ Tigres UANL
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Atlas
3–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mazatlán and Pachuca.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Mazatlán vs Pachuca?
On our numbers Mazatlán have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Pachuca 48%.
How many goals will there be in Mazatlán vs Pachuca?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mazatlán vs Pachuca?
Our predicted score is Mazatlán 1–1 Pachuca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Mazatlán vs Pachuca?
Mazatlán vs Pachuca (Liga MX) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Mazatlan.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
