Value bet: U.N.A.M. - Pumas to win @ 3.25 – our chance 37% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultClub Tijuana to win ✗40% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.74
Club Tijuana vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas preview and prediction
The match
U.N.A.M. - Pumas travel to Estadio Caliente in the Liga MX on Saturday 28 February (04:06 WAT) to face Club Tijuana. Club Tijuana are 9th with 22 points from 16 games (in the top half), while U.N.A.M. - Pumas sit 11th on 21 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Club Tijuana and 1.4 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 63%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: U.N.A.M. - Pumas to win at 3.25 – 37% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Club Tijuana 1–1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Club Tijuana40%fair 2.51 · @2.12
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.40
U.N.A.M. - Pumas37%fair 2.69 · @3.25
2.80Expected goals
1.43Club Tijuana xG
1.37U.N.A.M. - Pumas xG
63%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%
From our goals model: Club Tijuana 1.4 – 1.4 U.N.A.M. - Pumas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Club Tijuana to win✗
40%
2.51
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Club Tijuana / FT Club Tijuana✗
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.74
–
Form
Club Tijuana – last 2
DL
22 Feb
vs Mazatlán
1–1
D
14 Feb
@ Toluca
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
U.N.A.M. - Pumas – last 2
WW
23 Feb
vs Monterrey
2–0
W
14 Feb
@ Puebla
3–2
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Club Tijuana and U.N.A.M. - Pumas.
What is the prediction for Club Tijuana vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Club Tijuana vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
On our numbers Club Tijuana have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and U.N.A.M. - Pumas 37%.
How many goals will there be in Club Tijuana vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Club Tijuana vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
Our predicted score is Club Tijuana 1–1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Club Tijuana vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
Club Tijuana vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas (Liga MX) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 04:06 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Caliente.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mazatlán1