Serie A · BrazilGremio vs Vasco DA Gama prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.73 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Gremio 1.4 – 1.2 Vasco DA Gama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Gremio hold the edge on home soil with a 42% chance of winning, against 34% for Vasco DA Gama.
Gremio have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2 per game. Vasco DA Gama have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.4 for Gremio, 1.2 for Vasco DA Gama). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 58%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 0–1 (9%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 58% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.80 is better than our fair price of 1.73, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Gremio to win ✗ | 42% | 2.36 | 2.50 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.39 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 53% | 1.87 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.29 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Gremio / FT Gremio ✗ | 24% | 4.22 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 9.35 | – |
Form
Gremio – last 6
| 8 Sep | @ Vitoria | 0–1 | L |
| 4 Sep | vs Internacional | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | vs Chapecoense-sc | 3–1 | W |
| 28 Aug | @ Internacional | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Aug | @ RB Bragantino | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Aug | @ Atletico-MG | 0–3 | L |
Vasco DA Gama – last 6
| 8 Sep | @ Santa Fe | 0–0 | D |
| 6 Sep | @ Fluminense | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Sep | @ Vitoria | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | vs Cruzeiro | 3–1 | W |
| 27 Aug | vs Vitoria | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | @ Palmeiras | 1–4 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gremio and Vasco DA Gama.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 34 | +42 | 76 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 34 | +39 | 73 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 34 | +7 | 60 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 34 | +13 | 57 |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 34 | +8 | 54 |
| 6 |  Bahia | 34 | +5 | 53 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 34 | +4 | 50 |
| 8 |  RB Bragantino | 34 | +5 | 47 |
| 9 |  Santos | 34 | +1 | 47 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 34 | 0 | 44 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 34 | -7 | 42 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 34 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 33 | -7 | 41 |
| 14 |  Mirassol | 34 | -9 | 40 |
| 15 |  Vitoria | 34 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 34 | -4 | 38 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 34 | -6 | 37 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 34 | -9 | 37 |
| 19 |  Remo | 34 | -20 | 29 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 33 | -35 | 21 |
More Serie A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama?
On our numbers Gremio have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Vasco DA Gama 34%.
How many goals will there be in Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama?
Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.