Serie A · BrazilCoritiba vs Atletico Paranaense prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
Value bet: Coritiba to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Coritiba 1.3 – 1.3 Atletico Paranaense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Coritiba and Atletico Paranaense on our numbers – 36% for the home side, 39% for the visitors and 25% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Coritiba have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.3 per game. Atletico Paranaense have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.3 for Coritiba, 1.3 for Atletico Paranaense). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 59%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 59% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.80 is better than our fair price of 1.69, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Coritiba to win at 3.00 is our value angle (36% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Atletico Paranaense to win ✗ | 39% | 2.58 | 2.30 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 75% | 1.34 | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 59% | 1.69 | 1.80 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.36 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 74% | 1.36 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.32 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Atletico Paranaense / FT Atletico Paranaense ✗ | 22% | 4.52 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.12 | – |
Form
Coritiba – last 6
| 6 Sep | vs Mirassol | 1–2 | L |
| 1 Sep | @ Remo | 3–2 | W |
| 23 Aug | vs Corinthians | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Aug | @ Sao Paulo | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Aug | vs Chapecoense-sc | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Jul | vs Cruzeiro | 0–1 | L |
Atletico Paranaense – last 6
| 6 Sep | @ Cruzeiro | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Aug | vs Fluminense | 3–3 | D |
| 25 Aug | @ Botafogo | 3–2 | W |
| 15 Aug | vs RB Bragantino | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Aug | @ Santos | 2–0 | W |
| 7 Aug | @ Vitoria | 0–4 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Coritiba and Atletico Paranaense.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 34 | +42 | 76 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 34 | +39 | 73 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 34 | +7 | 60 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 34 | +13 | 57 |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 34 | +8 | 54 |
| 6 |  Bahia | 34 | +5 | 53 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 34 | +4 | 50 |
| 8 |  RB Bragantino | 34 | +5 | 47 |
| 9 |  Santos | 34 | +1 | 47 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 34 | 0 | 44 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 34 | -7 | 42 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 34 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 33 | -7 | 41 |
| 14 |  Mirassol | 34 | -9 | 40 |
| 15 |  Vitoria | 34 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 34 | -4 | 38 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 34 | -6 | 37 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 34 | -9 | 37 |
| 19 |  Remo | 34 | -20 | 29 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 33 | -35 | 21 |
More Serie A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Coritiba vs Atletico Paranaense?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Coritiba vs Atletico Paranaense?
On our numbers Coritiba have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Atletico Paranaense 39%.
How many goals will there be in Coritiba vs Atletico Paranaense?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is Coritiba vs Atletico Paranaense?
Coritiba vs Atletico Paranaense (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.