Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 56% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCruzeiro to win ✓67% · @1.32
Double chanceCruzeiro or draw ✓87% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.43
Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-sc preview and prediction
The match
Cruzeiro host Chapecoense-sc in the Serie A on Sunday 24 May, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Governador Magalhães Pinto. Cruzeiro are 3rd with 60 points from 34 games (in the top four), while Chapecoense-sc sit 20th on 21 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 39 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Cruzeiro's last 5: DDWWD Most recently they drew with Boca Juniors 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Chapecoense-sc's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Novorizontino 2–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Chapecoense-sc arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Cruzeiro and 0.8 for Chapecoense-sc. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.05 – 56% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Cruzeiro 2–0 Chapecoense-sc. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cruzeiro67%fair 1.49 · @1.32
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @4.65
Chapecoense-sc13%fair 7.47 · @10.25
2.94Expected goals
2.12Cruzeiro xG
0.82Chapecoense-sc xG
56%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Cruzeiro 2.1 – 0.8 Chapecoense-sc expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cruzeiro to win✓
67%
1.49
1.32
Double chance
Cruzeiro or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.42
Half-time result
Cruzeiro ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cruzeiro / FT Cruzeiro✓
44%
2.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.43
–
Form
Cruzeiro – last 6
DDWWDL
20 May
@ Boca Juniors
1–1
D
17 May
@ Palmeiras
1–1
D
13 May
vs Goias
1–0
W
10 May
@ Bahia
2–1
W
7 May
@ U. Catolica
0–0
D
3 May
vs Atletico-MG
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Chapecoense-sc – last 6
WLWWWL
20 May
@ Novorizontino
2–0
W
17 May
vs Remo
2–3
L
14 May
vs Botafogo
2–0
W
7 May
@ Operario-PR
2–1
W
29 Apr
vs America Mineiro
2–1
W
21 Apr
@ Botafogo
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cruzeiro and Chapecoense-sc.
What is the prediction for Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-sc?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-sc?
On our numbers Cruzeiro have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Chapecoense-sc 13%.
How many goals will there be in Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-sc?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-sc?
Our predicted score is Cruzeiro 2–0 Chapecoense-sc, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-sc?
Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-sc (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Governador Magalhães Pinto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
