Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCorinthians to win ✓57% · @1.84
Double chanceCorinthians or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.51
Corinthians vs Atletico-MG preview and prediction
The match
The Serie A sees Corinthians take on Atletico-MG on Sunday 24 May, kicking off at 22:30 (WAT) at Neo Química Arena. Corinthians are 17th with 37 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while Atletico-MG sit 7th on 50 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Corinthians's last 5: DLWDL Most recently they drew with Penarol 1–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Atletico-MG's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Cienciano 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Atletico-MG arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Corinthians and 0.8 for Atletico-MG. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 50%.
Our pre-match pick was Corinthians or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Corinthians 1–0 Atletico-MG. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Corinthians57%fair 1.75 · @1.84
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.30
Atletico-MG19%fair 5.23 · @4.45
2.31Expected goals
1.55Corinthians xG
0.76Atletico-MG xG
50%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–012%
1–112%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Corinthians 1.6 – 0.8 Atletico-MG expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Corinthians to win✓
57%
1.75
1.84 ▲
Double chance
Corinthians or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Corinthians / FT Corinthians✗
34%
2.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
15%
6.51
–
Form
Corinthians – last 6
DLWDLW
22 May
@ Penarol
1–1
D
17 May
@ Botafogo
1–3
L
14 May
vs Barra
1–0
W
7 May
@ Santa Fe
1–1
D
4 May
@ Mirassol
1–2
L
1 May
vs Penarol
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Atletico-MG – last 6
WDWLWW
21 May
vs Cienciano
2–0
W
5 May
@ Juventud
2–2
D
3 May
@ Cruzeiro
3–1
W
30 Apr
@ Cienciano
0–1
L
23 Apr
vs Ceara
2–1
W
16 Apr
vs Juventud
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Corinthians and Atletico-MG.
What is the prediction for Corinthians vs Atletico-MG?
Our pick is Corinthians or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Corinthians vs Atletico-MG?
On our numbers Corinthians have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atletico-MG 19%.
How many goals will there be in Corinthians vs Atletico-MG?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Corinthians vs Atletico-MG?
Our predicted score is Corinthians 1–0 Atletico-MG, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Corinthians vs Atletico-MG?
Corinthians vs Atletico-MG (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Neo Química Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
