Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPalmeiras to win ✓66% · @1.54
Double chancePalmeiras or draw ✓87% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.23
Palmeiras vs Botafogo preview and prediction
The match
Palmeiras host Botafogo in the Serie A on Wednesday 18 March, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT) at Allianz Parque. Palmeiras are 2nd with 73 points from 34 games (in the top four), while Botafogo sit 11th on 42 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 31 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Palmeiras's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Vasco DA Gama 1–2 away. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Botafogo's last 5: LLDDW Most recently they lost to Flamengo 0–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Palmeiras arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.3 for Palmeiras and 1.0 for Botafogo. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 52% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Palmeiras 2–0 Botafogo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Palmeiras66%fair 1.52 · @1.54
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @4.00
Botafogo13%fair 7.43 · @5.90
3.24Expected goals
2.28Palmeiras xG
0.96Botafogo xG
52%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Palmeiras 2.3 – 1.0 Botafogo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Palmeiras to win✓
66%
1.52
1.54
Double chance
Palmeiras or draw✓
87%
1.16
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.38
Half-time result
Palmeiras ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Palmeiras / FT Palmeiras✓
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.23
–
Form
Palmeiras – last 6
LWWWWW
12 Mar
@ Vasco DA Gama
1–2
L
9 Mar
@ Novorizontino
2–1
W
5 Mar
vs Novorizontino
1–0
W
2 Mar
vs Sao Paulo
2–1
W
26 Feb
vs Fluminense
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Capivariano
4–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Botafogo – last 6
LLDDWW
15 Mar
vs Flamengo
0–3
L
11 Mar
vs Barcelona SC
0–1
L
4 Mar
@ Barcelona SC
1–1
D
28 Feb
vs Boavista SC
0–0
D
26 Feb
vs Nacional Potosí
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Boavista SC
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Palmeiras and Botafogo.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Palmeiras vs Botafogo?
On our numbers Palmeiras have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Botafogo 13%.
How many goals will there be in Palmeiras vs Botafogo?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Palmeiras vs Botafogo?
Our predicted score is Palmeiras 2–0 Botafogo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Palmeiras vs Botafogo?
Palmeiras vs Botafogo (Serie A) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Parque.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
