Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Bahia to win @ 1.90 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBahia to win ✓60% · @1.90
Double chanceBahia or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.45
Bahia vs RB Bragantino preview and prediction
The match
RB Bragantino travel to Arena Fonte Nova in the Serie A on Wednesday 18 March (23:00 WAT) to face Bahia. Bahia are 6th with 53 points from 34 games (in the top half), while RB Bragantino sit 8th on 47 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Bahia's last 4: WDWL Most recently they beat Internacional 1–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
RB Bragantino's last 4: LDDW Most recently they lost to Sao Paulo 1–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Bahia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Bahia and 0.7 for RB Bragantino. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: Bahia to win at 1.90 – 60% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Bahia or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Bahia 1–0 RB Bragantino. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bahia60%fair 1.68 · @1.90
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.45
RB Bragantino16%fair 6.29 · @3.90
2.23Expected goals
1.57Bahia xG
0.66RB Bragantino xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Bahia 1.6 – 0.7 RB Bragantino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bahia to win✓
60%
1.68
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Bahia or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bahia / FT Bahia✓
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.45
–
Form
Bahia – last 4
WDWL
15 Mar
@ Internacional
1–0
W
12 Mar
vs Vitoria
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Atlético Alagoinhas
4–2
W
18 Feb
@ O'Higgins
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
RB Bragantino – last 4
LDDW
16 Mar
vs Sao Paulo
1–2
L
13 Mar
@ Gremio
1–1
D
25 Feb
vs Atletico Paranaense
1–1
D
16 Feb
vs Novorizontino
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bahia and RB Bragantino.
What is the prediction for Bahia vs RB Bragantino?
Our pick is Bahia or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Bahia vs RB Bragantino?
On our numbers Bahia have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and RB Bragantino 16%.
How many goals will there be in Bahia vs RB Bragantino?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bahia vs RB Bragantino?
Our predicted score is Bahia 1–0 RB Bragantino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Bahia vs RB Bragantino?
Bahia vs RB Bragantino (Serie A) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Fonte Nova.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
