Value bet: Gimnasia M. to win @ 4.40 – our chance 32% vs 23% implied by the price (edge +42%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultPlatense to win44% · @1.99
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score52% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals71% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–017% · fair 5.88
Platense vs Gimnasia M. preview and prediction
The match
Platense host Gimnasia M. in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Sunday 12 April, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT). Platense are 24th with 36 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Gimnasia M. sit 17th on 41 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Platense's last 5: LDDDD Most recently they lost to Corinthians 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gimnasia M.'s last 5: WLDDL Most recently they beat Velez Sarsfield 3–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.0 for Platense and 0.8 for Gimnasia M.. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Platense 44%, draw 24%, Gimnasia M. 32%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Gimnasia M. to win at 4.40 – 32% on our numbers against 23% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Platense 0–0 Gimnasia M.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Platense44%fair 2.28 · @1.99
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @2.95
Gimnasia M.32%fair 3.10 · @4.40
1.75Expected goals
0.98Platense xG
0.77Gimnasia M. xG
48%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–017%
1–017%
0–113%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: Platense 1.0 – 0.8 Gimnasia M. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Platense to win
44%
2.28
1.99
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.31
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
52%
1.94
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
55%
1.83
1.65
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
71%
1.40
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
87%
1.14
1.11
Half-time result
Level at half-time
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
25%
4.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
17%
5.88
–
Form
Platense – last 6
LDDDDD
10 Apr
vs Corinthians
0–2
L
2 Apr
@ Lanus
0–0
D
11 Mar
@ Newells Old Boys
1–1
D
2 Mar
@ Deportivo Riestra
0–0
D
24 Feb
vs Defensa Y Justicia
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Boca Juniors
0–0
D
0.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Gimnasia M. – last 6
WLDDLL
3 Apr
vs Velez Sarsfield
3–2
W
18 Mar
vs Estudiantes L.P.
1–2
L
12 Mar
@ Deportivo Riestra
0–0
D
25 Feb
vs Independiente
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Gimnasia L.P.
0–1
L
14 Feb
@ Talleres Cordoba
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Platense and Gimnasia M..
What is the prediction for Platense vs Gimnasia M.?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Platense vs Gimnasia M.?
On our numbers Platense have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gimnasia M. 32%.
How many goals will there be in Platense vs Gimnasia M.?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Platense vs Gimnasia M.?
Our predicted score is Platense 0–0 Gimnasia M., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Platense vs Gimnasia M.?
Platense vs Gimnasia M. (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto1
Barracas Central2
Atletico Tucuman
Tigre
Huracan
Rosario Central