Newells Old Boys vs San Lorenzo prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.65
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 53% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultNewells Old Boys to win39% · @2.66
Double chanceEither team to win73% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals84% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–013% · fair 7.76
Newells Old Boys vs San Lorenzo preview and prediction
The match
San Lorenzo travel to Estadio Marcelo Bielsa in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Sunday 12 April (19:00 WAT) to face Newells Old Boys. Newells Old Boys are 22nd with 38 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while San Lorenzo sit 18th on 41 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Newells Old Boys's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Central Cordoba de Santiago 3–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
San Lorenzo's last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with Deportivo Recoleta 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
San Lorenzo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Newells Old Boys and 1.0 for San Lorenzo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Newells Old Boys 39%, draw 27%, San Lorenzo 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.25.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.25 – 53% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Newells Old Boys 1–1 San Lorenzo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Newells Old Boys39%fair 2.56 · @2.66
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @2.80
San Lorenzo34%fair 2.95 · @2.96
2.18Expected goals
1.14Newells Old Boys xG
1.04San Lorenzo xG
53%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Newells Old Boys 1.1 – 1.0 San Lorenzo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newells Old Boys to win
39%
2.56
2.66
Double chance
Either team to win
73%
1.37
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
53%
1.90
2.25 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
61%
1.65
1.65
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
65%
1.53
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
84%
1.20
1.11
Half-time result
Level at half-time
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newells Old Boys / FT Newells Old Boys
21%
4.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
13%
7.76
–
Form
Newells Old Boys – last 6
WLLDLL
6 Apr
@ Central Cordoba de Santiago
3–1
W
30 Mar
vs Acassuso
0–2
L
17 Mar
@ Lanus
0–5
L
11 Mar
vs Platense
1–1
D
25 Feb
vs Estudiantes L.P.
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Banfield
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
San Lorenzo – last 6
DWDWLD
8 Apr
@ Deportivo Recoleta
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Estudiantes L.P.
1–0
W
25 Mar
@ Deportivo Riestra
1–1
D
21 Mar
vs Deportivo Rincon
5–0
W
16 Mar
vs Defensa Y Justicia
2–5
L
11 Mar
@ Boca Juniors
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newells Old Boys and San Lorenzo.
What is the prediction for Newells Old Boys vs San Lorenzo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Newells Old Boys vs San Lorenzo?
On our numbers Newells Old Boys have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and San Lorenzo 34%.
How many goals will there be in Newells Old Boys vs San Lorenzo?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newells Old Boys vs San Lorenzo?
Our predicted score is Newells Old Boys 1–1 San Lorenzo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Newells Old Boys vs San Lorenzo?
Newells Old Boys vs San Lorenzo (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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