Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 54% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtletico Tucuman to win39% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–012% · fair 8.23
Atletico Tucuman vs Tigre preview and prediction
The match
Atletico Tucuman host Tigre in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Sunday 12 April, with kick-off at 21:30 (WAT) at Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro. Atletico Tucuman are 26th with 32 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Tigre sit 20th on 39 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Atletico Tucuman's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Rosario Central 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Tigre's last 5: DLLDD Most recently they drew with Alianza Atletico 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Atletico Tucuman arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Atletico Tucuman and 1.1 for Tigre. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 37%, both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.15 – 54% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Atletico Tucuman 1–1 Tigre. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico Tucuman39%fair 2.54 · @2.60
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @2.95
Tigre35%fair 2.87 · @2.88
2.28Expected goals
1.18Atletico Tucuman xG
1.09Tigre xG
54%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Atletico Tucuman 1.2 – 1.1 Tigre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Tucuman to win
39%
2.54
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.35
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
54%
1.85
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
63%
1.58
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
63%
1.59
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
82%
1.22
1.14
Half-time result
Level at half-time
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Tucuman / FT Atletico Tucuman
22%
4.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
12%
8.23
–
Form
Atletico Tucuman – last 6
LWWLDL
5 Apr
@ Rosario Central
1–2
L
25 Mar
vs Sportivo Barracas
2–1
W
21 Mar
vs Gimnasia L.P.
1–0
W
16 Mar
@ Barracas Central
1–2
L
12 Mar
vs Aldosivi
1–1
D
4 Mar
vs Racing Club
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Tigre – last 6
DLLDDD
8 Apr
@ Alianza Atletico
1–1
D
2 Apr
vs Independ. Rivadavia
0–2
L
21 Mar
@ Banfield
0–1
L
16 Mar
vs Argentinos JRS
1–1
D
10 Mar
vs Velez Sarsfield
1–1
D
2 Mar
vs Gimnasia L.P.
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Tucuman and Tigre.
What is the prediction for Atletico Tucuman vs Tigre?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Atletico Tucuman vs Tigre?
On our numbers Atletico Tucuman have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Tigre 35%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Tucuman vs Tigre?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Tucuman vs Tigre?
Our predicted score is Atletico Tucuman 1–1 Tigre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Atletico Tucuman vs Tigre?
Atletico Tucuman vs Tigre (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Newells Old Boys
San Lorenzo
Platense
Gimnasia M.