Union Santa Fe vs Boca Juniors prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBoca Juniors to win ✗38% · @2.82
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.77
Union Santa Fe vs Boca Juniors preview and prediction
The match
Boca Juniors travel to Estadio 15 de Abril in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Monday 16 March (02:00 WAT) to face Union Santa Fe. Union Santa Fe are 16th with 42 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Boca Juniors sit 1st on 63 points (top of the table). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Union Santa Fe's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Independiente 4–4 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Boca Juniors's last 5: DWWDD Most recently they drew with San Lorenzo 1–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.2 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Union Santa Fe and 1.1 for Boca Juniors. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union Santa Fe 35%, draw 28%, Boca Juniors 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 52% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Union Santa Fe 1–1 Boca Juniors. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union Santa Fe35%fair 2.87 · @2.90
Draw28%fair 3.63 · @2.70
Boca Juniors38%fair 2.66 · @2.82
2.15Expected goals
1.05Union Santa Fe xG
1.10Boca Juniors xG
52%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–012%
1–27%
0–27%
From our goals model: Union Santa Fe 1.0 – 1.1 Boca Juniors expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Boca Juniors to win✗
38%
2.66
2.82 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.38
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.14
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Boca Juniors / FT Boca Juniors✗
21%
4.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.77
–
Form
Union Santa Fe – last 5
DWWWD
10 Mar
@ Independiente
4–4
D
1 Mar
@ Instituto Cordoba
2–1
W
26 Feb
@ Sarmiento Junin
3–1
W
23 Feb
vs Aldosivi
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs San Lorenzo
0–0
D
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Boca Juniors – last 5
DWWDD
11 Mar
vs San Lorenzo
1–1
D
5 Mar
@ Lanus
3–0
W
25 Feb
vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy
2–0
W
21 Feb
vs Racing Club
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Platense
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Santa Fe and Boca Juniors.
What is the prediction for Union Santa Fe vs Boca Juniors?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Union Santa Fe vs Boca Juniors?
On our numbers Union Santa Fe have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Boca Juniors 38%.
How many goals will there be in Union Santa Fe vs Boca Juniors?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Santa Fe vs Boca Juniors?
Our predicted score is Union Santa Fe 1–1 Boca Juniors, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Union Santa Fe vs Boca Juniors?
Union Santa Fe vs Boca Juniors (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Monday 16 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 15 de Abril.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tigre1
Argentinos JRS1
Aldosivi0
Huracan0
Barracas Central2
Atletico Tucuman1