Barracas Central vs Atletico Tucuman prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 51% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtletico Tucuman to win ✗37% · @2.76
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.79
Barracas Central vs Atletico Tucuman preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Profesional Argentina sees Barracas Central take on Atletico Tucuman on Monday 16 March, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Estadio Claudio Chiqui Tapia. Barracas Central are 12th with 47 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Atletico Tucuman sit 26th on 32 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Barracas Central's last 4: WDWL Most recently they beat Independ. Rivadavia 2–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Atletico Tucuman's last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with Aldosivi 1–1 at home. They average 1.4 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Barracas Central arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Barracas Central and 1.1 for Atletico Tucuman. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Barracas Central 37%, draw 26%, Atletico Tucuman 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.25.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.25 – 51% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Barracas Central 1–1 Atletico Tucuman. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barracas Central37%fair 2.73 · @2.76
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @2.88
Atletico Tucuman37%fair 2.68 · @2.76
2.11Expected goals
1.05Barracas Central xG
1.06Atletico Tucuman xG
51%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–013%
0–012%
1–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Barracas Central 1.1 – 1.1 Atletico Tucuman expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Tucuman to win✗
37%
2.68
2.76
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
2.25 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.12
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.79
–
Form
Barracas Central – last 4
WDWL
12 Mar
@ Independ. Rivadavia
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Argentinos JRS
1–1
D
25 Feb
vs Tigre
2–1
W
16 Feb
@ Rosario Central
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Atletico Tucuman – last 5
DLLLW
12 Mar
vs Aldosivi
1–1
D
4 Mar
vs Racing Club
0–3
L
25 Feb
@ Belgrano Cordoba
1–3
L
21 Feb
@ Instituto Cordoba
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
4–0
W
1.4Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barracas Central and Atletico Tucuman.
What is the prediction for Barracas Central vs Atletico Tucuman?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Barracas Central vs Atletico Tucuman?
On our numbers Barracas Central have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Atletico Tucuman 37%.
How many goals will there be in Barracas Central vs Atletico Tucuman?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barracas Central vs Atletico Tucuman?
Our predicted score is Barracas Central 1–1 Atletico Tucuman, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Barracas Central vs Atletico Tucuman?
Barracas Central vs Atletico Tucuman (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Monday 16 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Claudio Chiqui Tapia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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