Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 53% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTigre to win ✗49% · @2.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.81
Tigre vs Gimnasia L.P. preview and prediction
The match
Gimnasia L.P. travel to Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Monday 2 March (01:30 WAT) to face Tigre. Tigre are 20th with 39 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Gimnasia L.P. sit 5th on 57 points (in the top half). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tigre's last 3: LDW Most recently they lost to Barracas Central 1–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gimnasia L.P.'s last 3: LWD Most recently they lost to Rosario Central 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.3 for Tigre and 0.9 for Gimnasia L.P.. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.20 – 53% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Tigre 1–0 Gimnasia L.P.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tigre49%fair 2.06 · @2.18
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @2.90
Gimnasia L.P.27%fair 3.64 · @3.75
2.18Expected goals
1.30Tigre xG
0.88Gimnasia L.P. xG
53%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–010%
2–18%
From our goals model: Tigre 1.3 – 0.9 Gimnasia L.P. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tigre to win✗
49%
2.06
2.18 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
2.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
1.14
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tigre / FT Tigre✗
27%
3.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.81
–
Form
Tigre – last 3
LDW
25 Feb
@ Barracas Central
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Central Cordoba de Santiago
0–0
D
17 Feb
vs Claypole
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Gimnasia L.P. – last 3
LWD
25 Feb
vs Rosario Central
1–2
L
21 Feb
@ Gimnasia M.
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Estudiantes L.P.
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tigre and Gimnasia L.P..
What is the prediction for Tigre vs Gimnasia L.P.?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Tigre vs Gimnasia L.P.?
On our numbers Tigre have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gimnasia L.P. 27%.
How many goals will there be in Tigre vs Gimnasia L.P.?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tigre vs Gimnasia L.P.?
Our predicted score is Tigre 1–0 Gimnasia L.P., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Tigre vs Gimnasia L.P.?
Tigre vs Gimnasia L.P. (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Monday 2 March 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Defensa Y Justicia1
Lanus1
Deportivo Riestra0
Platense0
Estudiantes L.P.0
Velez Sarsfield1