Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Lanus to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDefensa Y Justicia to win ✗39% · @2.48
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.77
Defensa Y Justicia vs Lanus preview and prediction
The match
Defensa Y Justicia host Lanus in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Monday 2 March, with kick-off at 01:30 (WAT) at Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello. Defensa Y Justicia are 14th with 47 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Lanus sit 9th on 50 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Defensa Y Justicia's last 3: DDD Most recently they drew with Platense 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Defensa Y Justicia and 1.0 for Lanus. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Defensa Y Justicia 39%, draw 26%, Lanus 35%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Lanus to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Defensa Y Justicia 1–1 Lanus. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Defensa Y Justicia39%fair 2.58 · @2.48
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @2.92
Lanus35%fair 2.83 · @3.10
2.16Expected goals
1.11Defensa Y Justicia xG
1.04Lanus xG
50%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Defensa Y Justicia 1.1 – 1.0 Lanus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Defensa Y Justicia to win✗
39%
2.58
2.48
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.15
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Defensa Y Justicia / FT Defensa Y Justicia✗
21%
4.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.77
–
Form
Defensa Y Justicia – last 3
DDD
24 Feb
@ Platense
0–0
D
20 Feb
vs Belgrano Cordoba
1–1
D
14 Feb
vs Velez Sarsfield
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Lanus – last 2
LW
27 Feb
@ Flamengo
1–2
L
20 Feb
vs Flamengo
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Defensa Y Justicia and Lanus.
What is the prediction for Defensa Y Justicia vs Lanus?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Defensa Y Justicia vs Lanus?
On our numbers Defensa Y Justicia have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Lanus 35%.
How many goals will there be in Defensa Y Justicia vs Lanus?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Defensa Y Justicia vs Lanus?
Our predicted score is Defensa Y Justicia 1–1 Lanus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Defensa Y Justicia vs Lanus?
Defensa Y Justicia vs Lanus (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Monday 2 March 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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