Stade Nyonnais host FC Aarau in the Challenge League on Friday 20 February, with kick-off at 20:15 (WAT) at Colovray Sports Centre. Stade Nyonnais are 10th with 8 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while FC Aarau sit 6th on 15 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.9 for Stade Nyonnais and 2.0 for FC Aarau. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Stade Nyonnais 17%, draw 19%, FC Aarau 64%.
Safer route: FC Aarau or draw (83%) at 1.19.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.68.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Stade Nyonnais 0–2 FC Aarau. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stade Nyonnais17%fair 5.83 · @4.33
Draw19%fair 5.30 · @3.80
FC Aarau64%fair 1.56 · @1.60
2.88Expected goals
0.89Stade Nyonnais xG
1.99FC Aarau xG
58%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–111%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Stade Nyonnais 0.9 – 2.0 FC Aarau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Aarau to win✗
64%
1.56
1.60
Double chance
FC Aarau or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.19
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.68
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.63
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.44
Half-time result
FC Aarau ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Aarau / FT FC Aarau✗
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.95
–
Form
Stade Nyonnais – last 1
L
13 Feb
@ Yverdon Sport
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
FC Aarau – last 1
L
13 Feb
@ Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
2–4
L
2.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stade Nyonnais and FC Aarau.
What is the prediction for Stade Nyonnais vs FC Aarau?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Stade Nyonnais vs FC Aarau?
On our numbers Stade Nyonnais have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 19% and FC Aarau 64%.
How many goals will there be in Stade Nyonnais vs FC Aarau?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stade Nyonnais vs FC Aarau?
Our predicted score is Stade Nyonnais 0–2 FC Aarau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Stade Nyonnais vs FC Aarau?
Stade Nyonnais vs FC Aarau (Challenge League) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Colovray Sports Centre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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