Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.29Odds
1
Value bet: Rapperswil to win @ 1.93 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRapperswil to win ✓62% · @1.93
Double chanceRapperswil or draw ✓82% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.90
Rapperswil vs Bellinzona preview and prediction
The match
Rapperswil host Bellinzona in the Challenge League on Friday 20 February, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Rapperswil and 0.8 for Bellinzona. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 58%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Rapperswil to win at 1.93 – 62% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Rapperswil or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.29, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Rapperswil 1–0 Bellinzona. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rapperswil62%fair 1.61 · @1.93
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @3.30
Bellinzona18%fair 5.66 · @3.30
2.68Expected goals
1.84Rapperswil xG
0.84Bellinzona xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Rapperswil 1.8 – 0.8 Bellinzona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rapperswil to win✓
62%
1.61
1.93 ▲
Double chance
Rapperswil or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.29 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.78
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Half-time result
Rapperswil ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rapperswil / FT Rapperswil✓
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.90
–
Form
Rapperswil – last 1
W
13 Feb
@ FC WIL 1900
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Bellinzona – last 1
L
13 Feb
vs FC Vaduz
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rapperswil and Bellinzona.
What is the prediction for Rapperswil vs Bellinzona?
Our pick is Rapperswil or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Rapperswil vs Bellinzona?
On our numbers Rapperswil have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Bellinzona 18%.
How many goals will there be in Rapperswil vs Bellinzona?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rapperswil vs Bellinzona?
Our predicted score is Rapperswil 1–0 Bellinzona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Rapperswil vs Bellinzona?
Rapperswil vs Bellinzona (Challenge League) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
