Étoile Carouge vs Yverdon Sport preview and prediction
The match
Étoile Carouge host Yverdon Sport in the Challenge League on Friday 20 February, with kick-off at 20:15 (WAT) at Stade de la Fontenette. Étoile Carouge are 7th with 14 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Yverdon Sport sit 3rd on 23 points (in the top four).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.3 for Étoile Carouge and 1.5 for Yverdon Sport. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Étoile Carouge 35%, draw 20%, Yverdon Sport 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.61.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Étoile Carouge 1–1 Yverdon Sport. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Étoile Carouge35%fair 2.89 · @2.75
Draw20%fair 4.88 · @3.40
Yverdon Sport45%fair 2.23 · @2.15
2.87Expected goals
1.32Étoile Carouge xG
1.55Yverdon Sport xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–27%
From our goals model: Étoile Carouge 1.3 – 1.5 Yverdon Sport expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Yverdon Sport to win✗
45%
2.23
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.26
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.61
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.23
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.39
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Yverdon Sport / FT Yverdon Sport✗
25%
3.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.13
–
Form
Étoile Carouge – last 1
L
13 Feb
vs Neuchatel Xamax FC
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Yverdon Sport – last 1
W
13 Feb
vs Stade Nyonnais
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Étoile Carouge and Yverdon Sport.
What is the prediction for Étoile Carouge vs Yverdon Sport?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Étoile Carouge vs Yverdon Sport?
On our numbers Étoile Carouge have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Yverdon Sport 45%.
How many goals will there be in Étoile Carouge vs Yverdon Sport?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Étoile Carouge vs Yverdon Sport?
Our predicted score is Étoile Carouge 1–1 Yverdon Sport, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Étoile Carouge vs Yverdon Sport?
Étoile Carouge vs Yverdon Sport (Challenge League) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Fontenette.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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