Value bet: Chonburi FC to win @ 3.20 – our chance 37% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKanchanaburi to win ✗40% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.95
Kanchanaburi vs Chonburi FC preview and prediction
The match
The Thai League 1 sees Kanchanaburi take on Chonburi FC on Saturday 2 May, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Kanchanaburi Province Stadium.
Form guide
Kanchanaburi's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Buriram United 1–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Chonburi FC's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with Muangthong United 0–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Chonburi FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Kanchanaburi and 1.3 for Chonburi FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kanchanaburi 40%, draw 23%, Chonburi FC 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Chonburi FC to win at 3.20 – 37% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Kanchanaburi 1–1 Chonburi FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kanchanaburi40%fair 2.49 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.40
Chonburi FC37%fair 2.69 · @3.20
2.73Expected goals
1.40Kanchanaburi xG
1.33Chonburi FC xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Kanchanaburi 1.4 – 1.3 Chonburi FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kanchanaburi to win✗
40%
2.49
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kanchanaburi / FT Kanchanaburi✗
23%
4.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
10.95
–
Form
Kanchanaburi – last 6
LLWWLL
26 Apr
vs Buriram United
1–3
L
4 Apr
vs BG Pathum United
0–2
L
15 Mar
vs Sukhothai FC
1–0
W
7 Mar
@ Ayutthaya FC
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs Chiangrai United
0–4
L
21 Feb
@ Uthai Thani
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chonburi FC – last 6
DLWWWL
26 Apr
vs Muangthong United
0–0
D
8 Apr
vs Port FC
3–4
L
5 Apr
vs Rayong FC
3–1
W
21 Mar
vs Sukhothai FC
2–0
W
18 Mar
vs Thap Luang United
1–0
W
14 Mar
@ Buriram United
0–5
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kanchanaburi and Chonburi FC.
What is the prediction for Kanchanaburi vs Chonburi FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Kanchanaburi vs Chonburi FC?
On our numbers Kanchanaburi have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Chonburi FC 37%.
How many goals will there be in Kanchanaburi vs Chonburi FC?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kanchanaburi vs Chonburi FC?
Our predicted score is Kanchanaburi 1–1 Chonburi FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Kanchanaburi vs Chonburi FC?
Kanchanaburi vs Chonburi FC (Thai League 1) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Kanchanaburi Province Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Nakhon Ratchasima FC1