Value bet: Port FC to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultPort FC to win44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.26
Port FC vs Buriram United preview and prediction
The match
Port FC host Buriram United in the Thai League 1 on Saturday 2 May, with kick-off at 13:30 (WAT) at PAT Stadium. Port FC are 1st with 16 points from 7 games (top of the table), while Buriram United sit 5th on 16 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Port FC's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with BG Pathum United 0–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Buriram United's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Rayong FC 0–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Port FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.6 for Port FC and 1.4 for Buriram United. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Port FC 44%, draw 21%, Buriram United 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Port FC to win at 2.50 – 44% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Port FC 1–1 Buriram United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Port FC44%fair 2.30 · @2.50
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.30
Buriram United35%fair 2.82 · @2.50
2.99Expected goals
1.59Port FC xG
1.40Buriram United xG
63%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–06%
From our goals model: Port FC 1.6 – 1.4 Buriram United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Port FC to win
44%
2.30
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
63%
1.58
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
56%
1.78
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
65%
1.53
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Port FC / FT Port FC
25%
4.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.26
–
Form
Port FC – last 6
DWWWWD
19 Apr
vs BG Pathum United
0–0
D
8 Apr
@ Chonburi FC
4–3
W
4 Apr
vs Prachuap
3–0
W
22 Mar
@ Chiangrai United
2–1
W
18 Mar
vs Khon Kaen United
7–0
W
15 Mar
@ Bangkok United
1–1
D
2.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Buriram United – last 6
LWWLDW
29 Apr
@ Rayong FC
0–3
L
26 Apr
@ Kanchanaburi
3–1
W
12 Apr
vs Ayutthaya FC
2–0
W
8 Apr
vs BG Pathum United
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ Ratchaburi
2–2
D
22 Mar
vs Muangthong United
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Port FC and Buriram United.
What is the prediction for Port FC vs Buriram United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Port FC vs Buriram United?
On our numbers Port FC have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Buriram United 35%.
How many goals will there be in Port FC vs Buriram United?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Port FC vs Buriram United?
Our predicted score is Port FC 1–1 Buriram United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Port FC vs Buriram United?
Port FC vs Buriram United (Thai League 1) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at PAT Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Nakhon Ratchasima FC1
Kanchanaburi2