Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Sukhothai FC preview and prediction
The match
The Thai League 1 sees Nakhon Ratchasima FC take on Sukhothai FC on Saturday 2 May, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at 80th Birthday Stadium.
Form guide
Nakhon Ratchasima FC's last 5: DWDLL Most recently they drew with Uthai Thani 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Sukhothai FC's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Ratchaburi 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Nakhon Ratchasima FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.4 for Nakhon Ratchasima FC and 1.0 for Sukhothai FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nakhon Ratchasima FC 48%, draw 22%, Sukhothai FC 29%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Nakhon Ratchasima FC 1–0 Sukhothai FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nakhon Ratchasima FC48%fair 2.07 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.10
Sukhothai FC29%fair 3.41 · @3.40
2.37Expected goals
1.38Nakhon Ratchasima FC xG
0.99Sukhothai FC xG
58%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–113%
0–09%
0–19%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Nakhon Ratchasima FC 1.4 – 1.0 Sukhothai FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nakhon Ratchasima FC to win✓
48%
2.07
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nakhon Ratchasima FC / FT Nakhon Ratchasima FC✗
27%
3.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
13%
7.73
–
Form
Nakhon Ratchasima FC – last 6
DWDLLW
5 Apr
vs Uthai Thani
0–0
D
21 Mar
@ Ayutthaya FC
1–0
W
13 Mar
vs Chiangrai United
1–1
D
7 Mar
vs Buriram United
0–3
L
1 Mar
vs Prachuap
1–2
L
25 Feb
vs Rayong FC
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sukhothai FC – last 6
LLLLWL
24 Apr
vs Ratchaburi
1–2
L
3 Apr
@ Bangkok United
0–2
L
21 Mar
@ Chonburi FC
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ Kanchanaburi
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs Rayong FC
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ BG Pathum United
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nakhon Ratchasima FC and Sukhothai FC.
What is the prediction for Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Sukhothai FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Sukhothai FC?
On our numbers Nakhon Ratchasima FC have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sukhothai FC 29%.
How many goals will there be in Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Sukhothai FC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Sukhothai FC?
Our predicted score is Nakhon Ratchasima FC 1–0 Sukhothai FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Sukhothai FC?
Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Sukhothai FC (Thai League 1) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at 80th Birthday Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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