Value bet: Prachuap to win @ 2.60 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultPrachuap to win42% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.32
Lamphun Warrior vs Prachuap preview and prediction
The match
The Thai League 1 sees Lamphun Warrior take on Prachuap on Saturday 14 March, kicking off at 13:30 (WAT) at 700th Anniversary Stadium. Lamphun Warrior are 9th with 11 points from 8 games (in the bottom half), while Prachuap sit 4th on 16 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Lamphun Warrior's last 4: LDDD Most recently they lost to Port FC 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Prachuap's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Muangthong United 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.6 scored and 0.6 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Prachuap arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.6 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.3 for Lamphun Warrior and 1.5 for Prachuap. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 60%.
Value angle: Prachuap to win at 2.60 – 42% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Lamphun Warrior 1–1 Prachuap. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lamphun Warrior34%fair 2.94 · @2.40
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.00
Prachuap42%fair 2.40 · @2.60
2.85Expected goals
1.34Lamphun Warrior xG
1.51Prachuap xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–27%
From our goals model: Lamphun Warrior 1.3 – 1.5 Prachuap expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Prachuap to win
42%
2.40
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
60%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Prachuap / FT Prachuap
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
11.32
–
Form
Lamphun Warrior – last 4
LDDD
6 Mar
@ Port FC
0–3
L
28 Feb
vs Bangkok United
1–1
D
25 Feb
vs Bangkok United
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Muangthong United
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Prachuap – last 5
WWWWD
7 Mar
vs Muangthong United
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Nakhon Ratchasima FC
2–1
W
25 Feb
@ Chiangrai United
1–0
W
20 Feb
vs Rayong FC
2–0
W
14 Feb
@ Ratchaburi
1–1
D
1.6Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lamphun Warrior and Prachuap.
What is the prediction for Lamphun Warrior vs Prachuap?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Lamphun Warrior vs Prachuap?
On our numbers Lamphun Warrior have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Prachuap 42%.
How many goals will there be in Lamphun Warrior vs Prachuap?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lamphun Warrior vs Prachuap?
Our predicted score is Lamphun Warrior 1–1 Prachuap, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Lamphun Warrior vs Prachuap?
Lamphun Warrior vs Prachuap (Thai League 1) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at 700th Anniversary Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Muangthong United1