Buriram United vs Chonburi FC preview and prediction
The match
The Thai League 1 sees Buriram United take on Chonburi FC on Saturday 14 March, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at Chang Arena. Buriram United are 5th with 16 points from 7 games (in the top half), while Chonburi FC sit 13th on 7 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Buriram United's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Nakhon Ratchasima FC 3–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.5 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Chonburi FC's last 4: WLWD Most recently they beat BG Pathum United 3–2 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Buriram United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.3 for Buriram United and 0.8 for Chonburi FC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Buriram United 71%, draw 19%, Chonburi FC 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.05.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 2.05, above our fair price of 1.88, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Buriram United 2–1 Chonburi FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Buriram United71%fair 1.41 · @1.18
Draw19%fair 5.33 · @6.00
Chonburi FC11%fair 9.46 · @11.00
3.07Expected goals
2.29Buriram United xG
0.78Chonburi FC xG
53%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Buriram United 2.3 – 0.8 Chonburi FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Buriram United to win✓
71%
1.41
1.18
Double chance
Buriram United or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Buriram United ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Buriram United / FT Buriram United✓
48%
2.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.24
–
Form
Buriram United – last 6
WDWWWW
7 Mar
@ Nakhon Ratchasima FC
3–0
W
3 Mar
@ Melbourne City
1–1
D
25 Feb
vs Khon Kaen United
6–0
W
21 Feb
vs Sukhothai FC
6–0
W
17 Feb
vs Shanghai Shenhua
2–0
W
14 Feb
@ BG Pathum United
3–1
W
3.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Chonburi FC – last 4
WLWD
8 Mar
@ BG Pathum United
3–2
W
28 Feb
vs Ayutthaya FC
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Chiangrai United
3–1
W
13 Feb
vs Uthai Thani
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Buriram United and Chonburi FC.
What is the prediction for Buriram United vs Chonburi FC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Buriram United vs Chonburi FC?
On our numbers Buriram United have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Chonburi FC 11%.
How many goals will there be in Buriram United vs Chonburi FC?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Buriram United vs Chonburi FC?
Our predicted score is Buriram United 2–1 Chonburi FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Buriram United vs Chonburi FC?
Buriram United vs Chonburi FC (Thai League 1) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Chang Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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