Rayong FC vs BG Pathum United prediction & analysis
57%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.76 · bookmaker 1.75
4/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBG Pathum United to win47% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–110% · fair 10.13
Rayong FC vs BG Pathum United preview and prediction
The match
The Thai League 1 sees Rayong FC take on BG Pathum United on Saturday 14 March, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Rayong Provincial Stadium. Rayong FC are 12th with 8 points from 8 games (in the bottom half), while BG Pathum United sit 7th on 12 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Rayong FC's last 4: LLLD Most recently they lost to Sukhothai FC 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
BG Pathum United's last 4: LWWL Most recently they lost to Chonburi FC 2–3 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
BG Pathum United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.2 for Rayong FC and 1.6 for BG Pathum United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rayong FC 31%, draw 22%, BG Pathum United 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Rayong FC 1–1 BG Pathum United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rayong FC31%fair 3.23 · @3.00
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.10
BG Pathum United47%fair 2.12 · @2.05
2.76Expected goals
1.20Rayong FC xG
1.56BG Pathum United xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Rayong FC 1.2 – 1.6 BG Pathum United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
BG Pathum United to win
47%
2.12
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.76
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT BG Pathum United / FT BG Pathum United
27%
3.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
10%
10.13
–
Form
Rayong FC – last 4
LLLD
7 Mar
@ Sukhothai FC
1–2
L
25 Feb
@ Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1–2
L
20 Feb
@ Prachuap
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Chiangrai United
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
BG Pathum United – last 4
LWWL
8 Mar
vs Chonburi FC
2–3
L
1 Mar
vs Sukhothai FC
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Ayutthaya FC
2–0
W
14 Feb
vs Buriram United
1–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rayong FC and BG Pathum United.
What is the prediction for Rayong FC vs BG Pathum United?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Rayong FC vs BG Pathum United?
On our numbers Rayong FC have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and BG Pathum United 47%.
How many goals will there be in Rayong FC vs BG Pathum United?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rayong FC vs BG Pathum United?
Our predicted score is Rayong FC 1–1 BG Pathum United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Rayong FC vs BG Pathum United?
Rayong FC vs BG Pathum United (Thai League 1) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Rayong Provincial Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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