San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Nashville SC to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNashville SC to win ✗61% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.05
San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC preview and prediction
The match
Nashville SC travel to Avaya Stadium in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 18 October (03:30 WAT) to face San Jose Earthquakes. San Jose Earthquakes are 4th with 52 points from 34 games (in the top four), while Nashville SC sit 1st on 77 points (top of the table). A gap of 25 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
San Jose Earthquakes's last 5: DDWDW Most recently they drew with Real Salt Lake 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Nashville SC's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Sporting Kansas City 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.0 for San Jose Earthquakes and 2.0 for Nashville SC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Jose Earthquakes 20%, draw 19%, Nashville SC 61%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Nashville SC to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it. Predicted score: San Jose Earthquakes 1–2 Nashville SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Jose Earthquakes20%fair 5.07 · @3.30
Draw19%fair 5.30 · @3.60
Nashville SC61%fair 1.63 · @1.91
3.05Expected goals
1.03San Jose Earthquakes xG
2.02Nashville SC xG
60%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–110%
0–210%
0–110%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: San Jose Earthquakes 1.0 – 2.0 Nashville SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nashville SC to win✗
61%
1.63
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.23
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Nashville SC ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nashville SC / FT Nashville SC✗
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.05
–
Form
San Jose Earthquakes – last 6
DDWDWW
15 Oct
@ Real Salt Lake
1–1
D
11 Oct
@ Colorado Rapids
1–1
D
27 Sep
vs Portland Timbers
3–1
W
20 Sep
vs Los Angeles FC
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Houston Dynamo
1–0
W
10 Sep
@ San Diego
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Nashville SC – last 6
WWWWDL
15 Oct
vs Sporting Kansas City
4–0
W
11 Oct
@ Austin
4–1
W
27 Sep
vs Toronto FC
2–0
W
20 Sep
vs Chicago Fire
3–0
W
13 Sep
@ Inter Miami
2–2
D
10 Sep
@ Toronto FC
1–2
L
2.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Jose Earthquakes and Nashville SC.
What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC?
Our pick is Nashville SC to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC?
On our numbers San Jose Earthquakes have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Nashville SC 61%.
How many goals will there be in San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC?
Our predicted score is San Jose Earthquakes 1–2 Nashville SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC?
San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time) at Avaya Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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