Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: FC Dallas to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHouston Dynamo to win ✗40% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.62
Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas preview and prediction
The match
Houston Dynamo host FC Dallas in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 18 October, with kick-off at 01:30 (WAT) at BBVA Compass Stadium. Houston Dynamo are 5th with 51 points from 34 games (in the top half), while FC Dallas sit 2nd on 58 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Houston Dynamo's last 5: DDLDL Most recently they drew with San Diego 3–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
FC Dallas's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Seattle Sounders 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FC Dallas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 March 2026, finished FC Dallas 4–3 Houston Dynamo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Houston Dynamo and 1.5 for FC Dallas. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Houston Dynamo 40%, draw 24%, FC Dallas 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.62.
Value angle: FC Dallas to win at 3.00 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Houston Dynamo 1–1 FC Dallas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Houston Dynamo40%fair 2.51 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.25
FC Dallas36%fair 2.74 · @3.00
3.00Expected goals
1.54Houston Dynamo xG
1.46FC Dallas xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Houston Dynamo 1.5 – 1.5 FC Dallas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas?
On our numbers Houston Dynamo have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FC Dallas 36%.
How many goals will there be in Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas?
Our predicted score is Houston Dynamo 1–1 FC Dallas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas?
Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at BBVA Compass Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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