New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNew York Red Bulls to win ✗50% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.81
New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC preview and prediction
The match
Toronto FC travel to Sports Illustrated Stadium in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 18 October (00:30 WAT) to face New York Red Bulls. New York Red Bulls are 10th with 42 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while Toronto FC sit 12th on 39 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
New York Red Bulls's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to DC United 1–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Toronto FC's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Orlando City SC 3–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.9 for New York Red Bulls and 1.4 for Toronto FC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: New York Red Bulls 50%, draw 19%, Toronto FC 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: New York Red Bulls 1–1 Toronto FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
New York Red Bulls50%fair 2.00 · @2.00
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @3.60
Toronto FC31%fair 3.27 · @3.00
3.31Expected goals
1.89New York Red Bulls xG
1.42Toronto FC xG
67%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–27%
1–07%
2–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: New York Red Bulls 1.9 – 1.4 Toronto FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
New York Red Bulls to win✗
50%
2.00
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
New York Red Bulls ahead at half-time✗
37%
2.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT New York Red Bulls / FT New York Red Bulls✗
30%
3.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.81
–
Form
New York Red Bulls – last 6
LWLWWL
15 Oct
@ DC United
1–2
L
11 Oct
vs San Diego
4–1
W
1 Oct
vs St. Louis City
0–3
L
19 Sep
@ New York City FC
1–0
W
13 Sep
@ Columbus Crew
1–0
W
10 Sep
@ Los Angeles FC
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Toronto FC – last 6
DWLLLW
15 Oct
vs Orlando City SC
3–3
D
10 Oct
vs CF Montreal
2–1
W
27 Sep
@ Nashville SC
0–2
L
20 Sep
@ St. Louis City
1–3
L
13 Sep
@ Orlando City SC
0–3
L
10 Sep
vs Nashville SC
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between New York Red Bulls and Toronto FC.
What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC?
On our numbers New York Red Bulls have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Toronto FC 31%.
How many goals will there be in New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC?
Our predicted score is New York Red Bulls 1–1 Toronto FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC?
New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Sports Illustrated Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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