Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 15 Oct 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultReal Salt Lake to win ✗58% · @1.91

Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.44

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13

Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes preview and prediction

The match

San Jose Earthquakes travel to Rio Tinto Stadium in the Major League Soccer on Thursday 15 October (02:30 WAT) to face Real Salt Lake. Real Salt Lake are 9th with 45 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while San Jose Earthquakes sit 4th on 52 points (in the top four).

Form guide

Real Salt Lake's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Philadelphia Union 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

San Jose Earthquakes's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Colorado Rapids 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.

San Jose Earthquakes arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.5.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.0 for Real Salt Lake and 1.1 for San Jose Earthquakes. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 64%.

Betting angles

Win chances: Real Salt Lake 58%, draw 20%, San Jose Earthquakes 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.44.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Real Salt Lake to win – a 58% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.71, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Real Salt Lake 2–1 San Jose Earthquakes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Real Salt Lake58%fair 1.71 · @1.91

Draw20%fair 4.98 · @3.60

San Jose Earthquakes22%fair 4.63 · @3.30

3.16Expected goals

2.02Real Salt Lake xG

1.14San Jose Earthquakes xG

64%Both score

61%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–110%

1–110%

2–09%

1–09%

3–17%

3–06%

From our goals model: Real Salt Lake 2.0 – 1.1 San Jose Earthquakes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Real Salt Lake to win ✗	58%	1.71	1.91 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	80%	1.25	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	64%	1.57	1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	82%	1.21	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	61%	1.63	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	61%	1.64	–
Half-time result	Real Salt Lake ahead at half-time ✗	43%	2.33	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Real Salt Lake / FT Real Salt Lake ✗	37%	2.74	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.13	–

Form

Real Salt Lake – last 6

LWLLLL

11 Oct	@ Philadelphia Union	1–2	L
27 Sep	vs New England Revolution	3–0	W
24 Sep	@ Seattle Sounders	0–2	L
20 Sep	vs Vancouver Whitecaps	0–3	L
13 Sep	vs New York City FC	0–2	L
10 Sep	@ Houston Dynamo	1–2	L

0.8Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

33%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

San Jose Earthquakes – last 6

DWDWWD

11 Oct	@ Colorado Rapids	1–1	D
27 Sep	vs Portland Timbers	3–1	W
20 Sep	vs Los Angeles FC	2–2	D
13 Sep	vs Houston Dynamo	1–0	W
10 Sep	@ San Diego	3–2	W
6 Sep	@ Austin	1–1	D

1.8Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

83%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	34	19	7	8	+40	64
2	FC Dallas	34	16	10	8	+11	58
3	St. Louis City	34	15	9	10	+11	54
4	San Jose Earthquakes	34	14	10	10	+6	52
5	Houston Dynamo	34	14	9	11	0	51
6	Los Angeles FC	34	12	11	11	+12	47
7	Portland Timbers	34	13	7	14	+1	46
8	Seattle Sounders	34	12	10	12	-2	46
9	Real Salt Lake	34	13	6	15	+1	45
10	Minnesota United FC	34	11	11	12	-2	44
11	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	11	11	12	-7	44
12	Colorado Rapids	34	12	7	15	-3	43
13	San Diego	34	9	11	14	-6	38
14	Austin	34	8	10	16	-23	34
15	Sporting Kansas City	34	7	5	22	-41	26

Team

Pts

+40

+11

+11

+12

-2

-2

-7

-3

-6

-23

-41

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Our pick is Real Salt Lake to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.

Who will win Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes?

On our numbers Real Salt Lake have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 20% and San Jose Earthquakes 22%.

How many goals will there be in Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Our predicted score is Real Salt Lake 2–1 San Jose Earthquakes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Rio Tinto Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes