Inter Miami vs New York City FC prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Inter Miami to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultInter Miami to win ✓66% · @1.44
Double chanceInter Miami or draw ✓88% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗69% · fair 1.46
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.57
Inter Miami vs New York City FC preview and prediction
The match
Inter Miami host New York City FC in the Major League Soccer on Thursday 15 October, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at Nu Stadium. Inter Miami are 2nd with 60 points from 34 games (in the top four), while New York City FC sit 11th on 42 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Inter Miami's last 5: WLDWD Most recently they beat DC United 4–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
New York City FC's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Chicago Fire 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Inter Miami arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.5 for Inter Miami and 1.1 for New York City FC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 69% and both teams to score at 66%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Inter Miami 66%, draw 21%, New York City FC 12%.
Safer route: Inter Miami or draw (88%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Inter Miami to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Inter Miami 2–1 New York City FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Inter Miami66%fair 1.51 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @4.50
New York City FC12%fair 8.07 · @5.00
3.54Expected goals
2.48Inter Miami xG
1.06New York City FC xG
66%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
1–18%
3–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: Inter Miami 2.5 – 1.1 New York City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Inter Miami to win✓
66%
1.51
1.44
Double chance
Inter Miami or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.51
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Inter Miami ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Inter Miami / FT Inter Miami✓
46%
2.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.57
–
Form
Inter Miami – last 6
WLDWDD
11 Oct
vs DC United
4–0
W
28 Sep
@ Columbus Crew
1–2
L
21 Sep
vs San Diego
2–2
D
17 Sep
vs Cruz Azul
2–0
W
13 Sep
vs Nashville SC
2–2
D
10 Sep
@ Chicago Fire
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
New York City FC – last 6
LDLWLD
10 Oct
@ Chicago Fire
1–2
L
27 Sep
@ Atlanta United FC
2–2
D
19 Sep
vs New York Red Bulls
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Real Salt Lake
2–0
W
10 Sep
vs New England Revolution
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Nashville SC
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Inter Miami and New York City FC.
What is the prediction for Inter Miami vs New York City FC?
Our pick is Inter Miami to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Inter Miami vs New York City FC?
On our numbers Inter Miami have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and New York City FC 12%.
How many goals will there be in Inter Miami vs New York City FC?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Inter Miami vs New York City FC?
Our predicted score is Inter Miami 2–1 New York City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Inter Miami vs New York City FC?
Inter Miami vs New York City FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Nu Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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