Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 15 Oct 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultNashville SC to win ✓76% · @1.17

Double chanceNashville SC or draw ✓91% · @1.04

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.75

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.36

Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City preview and prediction

The match

Sporting Kansas City travel to Geodis Park in the Major League Soccer on Thursday 15 October (01:30 WAT) to face Nashville SC. Nashville SC are 1st with 77 points from 34 games (top of the table), while Sporting Kansas City sit 15th on 26 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 51 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Nashville SC's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Austin 4–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Sporting Kansas City's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Portland Timbers 3–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.

Nashville SC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.5 for Nashville SC and 0.8 for Sporting Kansas City. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 64% and both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Win chances: Nashville SC 76%, draw 14%, Sporting Kansas City 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.75.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.70, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nashville SC 2–1 Sporting Kansas City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Nashville SC76%fair 1.31 · @1.17

Draw14%fair 7.00 · @7.00

Sporting Kansas City9%fair 10.67 · @11.00

3.29Expected goals

2.53Nashville SC xG

0.76Sporting Kansas City xG

59%Both score

64%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–012%

3–010%

1–09%

2–19%

3–18%

1–17%

From our goals model: Nashville SC 2.5 – 0.8 Sporting Kansas City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Nashville SC to win ✓	76%	1.31	1.17
Double chance	Nashville SC or draw ✓	91%	1.10	1.04
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	59%	1.70	1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	84%	1.19	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	64%	1.57	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	58%	1.72	–
Half-time result	Nashville SC ahead at half-time ✓	56%	1.79	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Nashville SC / FT Nashville SC ✓	52%	1.92	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–0 ✗	12%	8.36	–

Form

Nashville SC – last 6

WWWDLD

11 Oct	@ Austin	4–1	W
27 Sep	vs Toronto FC	2–0	W
20 Sep	vs Chicago Fire	3–0	W
13 Sep	@ Inter Miami	2–2	D
10 Sep	@ Toronto FC	1–2	L
5 Sep	@ New York City FC	0–0	D

2.0Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Sporting Kansas City – last 6

DLWLWL

11 Oct	vs Portland Timbers	3–3	D
2 Oct	@ Seattle Sounders	1–2	L
27 Sep	@ Houston Dynamo	2–0	W
20 Sep	vs Philadelphia Union	3–4	L
13 Sep	vs Los Angeles FC	3–1	W
6 Sep	@ FC Dallas	3–4	L

2.5Scored / game

2.3Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	34	19	7	8	+40	64
2	FC Dallas	34	16	10	8	+11	58
3	St. Louis City	34	15	9	10	+11	54
4	San Jose Earthquakes	34	14	10	10	+6	52
5	Houston Dynamo	34	14	9	11	0	51
6	Los Angeles FC	34	12	11	11	+12	47
7	Portland Timbers	34	13	7	14	+1	46
8	Seattle Sounders	34	12	10	12	-2	46
9	Real Salt Lake	34	13	6	15	+1	45
10	Minnesota United FC	34	11	11	12	-2	44
11	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	11	11	12	-7	44
12	Colorado Rapids	34	12	7	15	-3	43
13	San Diego	34	9	11	14	-6	38
14	Austin	34	8	10	16	-23	34
15	Sporting Kansas City	34	7	5	22	-41	26

Team

Pts

+40

+11

+11

+12

-2

-2

-7

-3

-6

-23

-41

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City?

On our numbers Nashville SC have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Sporting Kansas City 9%.

How many goals will there be in Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City?

Our predicted score is Nashville SC 2–1 Sporting Kansas City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City?

Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Geodis Park.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes

Nashville SC