Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 11 Oct 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultPortland Timbers to win ✗46% · @2.15

Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓71% · @1.33

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.42

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.82

Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers preview and prediction

The match

The Major League Soccer sees Sporting Kansas City take on Portland Timbers on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 01:30 (WAT) at Children's Mercy Park. Sporting Kansas City are 15th with 26 points from 34 games (in the bottom three), while Portland Timbers sit 7th on 46 points (in the top half). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Sporting Kansas City's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Seattle Sounders 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.

Portland Timbers's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to San Jose Earthquakes 1–3 away. They average 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 10 May 2026, finished Portland Timbers 6–0 Sporting Kansas City.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.7 for Sporting Kansas City and 1.9 for Portland Timbers. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 70% and both teams to score at 71%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Win chances: Sporting Kansas City 35%, draw 19%, Portland Timbers 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (71%) at 1.33.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 71% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Sporting Kansas City 1–1 Portland Timbers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Sporting Kansas City35%fair 2.85 · @2.70

Draw19%fair 5.26 · @3.80

Portland Timbers46%fair 2.18 · @2.15

3.63Expected goals

1.68Sporting Kansas City xG

1.95Portland Timbers xG

71%Both score

70%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–19%

1–28%

2–17%

2–27%

1–35%

0–15%

From our goals model: Sporting Kansas City 1.7 – 1.9 Portland Timbers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Portland Timbers to win ✗	46%	2.18	2.15
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	81%	1.23	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	71%	1.42	1.33
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	88%	1.14	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	70%	1.42	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	51%	1.97	–
Half-time result	Portland Timbers ahead at half-time ✓	36%	2.80	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Portland Timbers / FT Portland Timbers ✗	27%	3.65	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	8%	11.82	–

Form

Sporting Kansas City – last 6

LWLWLL

2 Oct	@ Seattle Sounders	1–2	L
27 Sep	@ Houston Dynamo	2–0	W
20 Sep	vs Philadelphia Union	3–4	L
13 Sep	vs Los Angeles FC	3–1	W
6 Sep	@ FC Dallas	3–4	L
30 Aug	vs Vancouver Whitecaps	0–3	L

2.0Scored / game

2.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Portland Timbers – last 6

LLLDWL

27 Sep	@ San Jose Earthquakes	1–3	L
20 Sep	vs Atlanta United FC	0–1	L
13 Sep	@ FC Dallas	1–2	L
10 Sep	vs St. Louis City	2–2	D
6 Sep	vs Minnesota United FC	5–4	W
30 Aug	vs Austin	1–2	L

1.7Scored / game

2.3Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	34	19	7	8	+40	64
2	FC Dallas	34	16	10	8	+11	58
3	St. Louis City	34	15	9	10	+11	54
4	San Jose Earthquakes	34	14	10	10	+6	52
5	Houston Dynamo	34	14	9	11	0	51
6	Los Angeles FC	34	12	11	11	+12	47
7	Portland Timbers	34	13	7	14	+1	46
8	Seattle Sounders	34	12	10	12	-2	46
9	Real Salt Lake	34	13	6	15	+1	45
10	Minnesota United FC	34	11	11	12	-2	44
11	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	11	11	12	-7	44
12	Colorado Rapids	34	12	7	15	-3	43
13	San Diego	34	9	11	14	-6	38
14	Austin	34	8	10	16	-23	34
15	Sporting Kansas City	34	7	5	22	-41	26

Team

Pts

+40

+11

+11

+12

-2

-2

-7

-3

-6

-23

-41

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers?

On our numbers Sporting Kansas City have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Portland Timbers 46%.

How many goals will there be in Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers?

Our predicted score is Sporting Kansas City 1–1 Portland Timbers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers?

Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Children's Mercy Park.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes