New York Red Bulls vs San Diego preview and prediction
The match
New York Red Bulls host San Diego in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 11 October, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at Sports Illustrated Stadium. New York Red Bulls are 10th with 42 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while San Diego sit 13th on 38 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
New York Red Bulls's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to St. Louis City 0–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
San Diego's last 5: DDLLL Most recently they drew with Austin 3–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.7 for New York Red Bulls and 1.6 for San Diego. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 69% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: New York Red Bulls 40%, draw 22%, San Diego 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.36.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 69% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: New York Red Bulls 1–1 San Diego. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
New York Red Bulls40%fair 2.50 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.50
San Diego38%fair 2.66 · @2.38
3.31Expected goals
1.68New York Red Bulls xG
1.63San Diego xG
69%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: New York Red Bulls 1.7 – 1.6 San Diego expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
New York Red Bulls to win✓
40%
2.50
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.44
1.36
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT New York Red Bulls / FT New York Red Bulls✓
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.88
–
Form
New York Red Bulls – last 6
LWWLDL
1 Oct
vs St. Louis City
0–3
L
19 Sep
@ New York City FC
1–0
W
13 Sep
@ Columbus Crew
1–0
W
10 Sep
@ Los Angeles FC
0–2
L
6 Sep
@ Seattle Sounders
0–0
D
30 Aug
vs Philadelphia Union
1–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
San Diego – last 6
DDLLLW
27 Sep
@ Austin
3–3
D
21 Sep
@ Inter Miami
2–2
D
14 Sep
vs Philadelphia Union
0–5
L
10 Sep
vs San Jose Earthquakes
2–3
L
6 Sep
@ Orlando City SC
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs Los Angeles Galaxy
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between New York Red Bulls and San Diego.
What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls vs San Diego?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win New York Red Bulls vs San Diego?
On our numbers New York Red Bulls have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and San Diego 38%.
How many goals will there be in New York Red Bulls vs San Diego?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New York Red Bulls vs San Diego?
Our predicted score is New York Red Bulls 1–1 San Diego, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is New York Red Bulls vs San Diego?
New York Red Bulls vs San Diego (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Sports Illustrated Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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DC United0
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Columbus Crew2
New England Revolution0
Philadelphia Union2
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