Double chancePhiladelphia Union or draw ✓90% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.41
Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake preview and prediction
The match
The Major League Soccer sees Philadelphia Union take on Real Salt Lake on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at Talen Energy Stadium. Philadelphia Union are 6th with 50 points from 34 games (in the top half), while Real Salt Lake sit 9th on 45 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Philadelphia Union's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Orlando City SC 4–2 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Real Salt Lake's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat New England Revolution 3–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Philadelphia Union arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.5 for Philadelphia Union and 0.9 for Real Salt Lake. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Philadelphia Union 71%, draw 19%, Real Salt Lake 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Philadelphia Union to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Philadelphia Union 2–0 Real Salt Lake. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Philadelphia Union71%fair 1.41 · @1.36
Draw19%fair 5.29 · @4.80
Real Salt Lake10%fair 9.96 · @6.00
3.37Expected goals
2.49Philadelphia Union xG
0.88Real Salt Lake xG
63%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
2–19%
3–09%
1–09%
3–18%
1–18%
From our goals model: Philadelphia Union 2.5 – 0.9 Real Salt Lake expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Philadelphia Union to win✓
71%
1.41
1.36
Double chance
Philadelphia Union or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Philadelphia Union ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Philadelphia Union / FT Philadelphia Union✓
49%
2.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.41
–
Form
Philadelphia Union – last 6
WWWWWW
27 Sep
vs Orlando City SC
4–2
W
20 Sep
@ Sporting Kansas City
4–3
W
14 Sep
@ San Diego
5–0
W
10 Sep
vs FC Cincinnati
5–0
W
6 Sep
vs CF Montreal
2–0
W
30 Aug
@ New York Red Bulls
3–1
W
3.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Real Salt Lake – last 6
WLLLLD
27 Sep
vs New England Revolution
3–0
W
24 Sep
@ Seattle Sounders
0–2
L
20 Sep
vs Vancouver Whitecaps
0–3
L
13 Sep
vs New York City FC
0–2
L
10 Sep
@ Houston Dynamo
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Los Angeles FC
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Philadelphia Union and Real Salt Lake.
What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake?
Our pick is Philadelphia Union to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake?
On our numbers Philadelphia Union have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Real Salt Lake 10%.
How many goals will there be in Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake?
Our predicted score is Philadelphia Union 2–0 Real Salt Lake, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake?
Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Talen Energy Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Inter Miami4
DC United0
Atlanta United FC1
FC Cincinnati3
Orlando City SC3
Columbus Crew2
New England Revolution0
New York Red Bulls4
Charlotte3
Nashville SC4