Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Houston Dynamo to win @ 3.25 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMinnesota United FC to win ✗44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.19
Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo preview and prediction
The match
Houston Dynamo travel to Allianz Field in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 11 October (01:30 WAT) to face Minnesota United FC. Minnesota United FC are 10th with 44 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while Houston Dynamo sit 5th on 51 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Minnesota United FC's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Seattle Sounders 1–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Houston Dynamo's last 5: LDLWD Most recently they lost to Sporting Kansas City 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Houston Dynamo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for Minnesota United FC and 1.3 for Houston Dynamo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Minnesota United FC 44%, draw 21%, Houston Dynamo 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Houston Dynamo to win at 3.25 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Minnesota United FC 1–1 Houston Dynamo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Minnesota United FC44%fair 2.26 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.30
Houston Dynamo35%fair 2.87 · @3.25
2.87Expected goals
1.54Minnesota United FC xG
1.33Houston Dynamo xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Minnesota United FC 1.5 – 1.3 Houston Dynamo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Minnesota United FC to win✗
44%
2.26
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Minnesota United FC / FT Minnesota United FC✗
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.19
–
Form
Minnesota United FC – last 6
LLLLLD
27 Sep
@ Seattle Sounders
1–3
L
20 Sep
vs Los Angeles Galaxy
2–3
L
13 Sep
@ St. Louis City
2–4
L
10 Sep
vs FC Dallas
1–2
L
6 Sep
@ Portland Timbers
4–5
L
30 Aug
vs Orlando City SC
3–3
D
2.2Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Houston Dynamo – last 6
LDLWDD
27 Sep
vs Sporting Kansas City
0–2
L
20 Sep
vs FC Cincinnati
2–2
D
13 Sep
@ San Jose Earthquakes
0–1
L
10 Sep
vs Real Salt Lake
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Charlotte
0–0
D
30 Aug
vs San Jose Earthquakes
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Minnesota United FC and Houston Dynamo.
What is the prediction for Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo?
On our numbers Minnesota United FC have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Houston Dynamo 35%.
How many goals will there be in Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo?
Our predicted score is Minnesota United FC 1–1 Houston Dynamo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo?
Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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