Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes preview and prediction
The match
San Jose Earthquakes travel to Shell Energy Stadium in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 30 August (01:30 WAT) to face Houston Dynamo. Houston Dynamo are 5th with 51 points from 34 games (in the top half), while San Jose Earthquakes sit 4th on 52 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Houston Dynamo's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to St. Louis City 1–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.3 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
San Jose Earthquakes's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Minnesota United FC 1–5 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Houston Dynamo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for Houston Dynamo and 0.8 for San Jose Earthquakes. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Houston Dynamo 68%, draw 20%, San Jose Earthquakes 12%.
Safer route: Houston Dynamo or draw (88%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Houston Dynamo to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Houston Dynamo 2–0 San Jose Earthquakes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Houston Dynamo68%fair 1.47 · @1.57
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @4.20
San Jose Earthquakes12%fair 8.54 · @4.75
3.05Expected goals
2.22Houston Dynamo xG
0.83San Jose Earthquakes xG
59%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Houston Dynamo 2.2 – 0.8 San Jose Earthquakes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Houston Dynamo to win✗
68%
1.47
1.57 ▲
Double chance
Houston Dynamo or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Houston Dynamo ahead at half-time✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Houston Dynamo / FT Houston Dynamo✗
46%
2.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.56
–
Form
Houston Dynamo – last 6
LWWWWW
23 Aug
@ St. Louis City
1–2
L
20 Aug
@ Vancouver Whitecaps
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Los Angeles Galaxy
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ New England Revolution
2–0
W
2 Aug
@ Sporting Kansas City
2–0
W
26 Jul
vs Austin
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
San Jose Earthquakes – last 6
LLLLDL
23 Aug
vs Minnesota United FC
1–5
L
20 Aug
@ Los Angeles Galaxy
0–1
L
16 Aug
vs St. Louis City
1–3
L
2 Aug
@ FC Cincinnati
2–4
L
26 Jul
vs Los Angeles Galaxy
1–1
D
23 Jul
vs Orlando City SC
0–4
L
0.8Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Houston Dynamo and San Jose Earthquakes.
What is the prediction for Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Our pick is Houston Dynamo to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes?
On our numbers Houston Dynamo have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and San Jose Earthquakes 12%.
How many goals will there be in Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Our predicted score is Houston Dynamo 2–0 San Jose Earthquakes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Shell Energy Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.