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Major League Soccer · USA · Shell Energy Stadium

Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction & analysis

68%
Footrivo pick

Houston Dynamo to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.57Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultHouston Dynamo to win ✗68% · @1.57
Double chanceHouston Dynamo or draw ✓88% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.56

Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes preview and prediction

The match

San Jose Earthquakes travel to Shell Energy Stadium in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 30 August (01:30 WAT) to face Houston Dynamo. Houston Dynamo are 5th with 51 points from 34 games (in the top half), while San Jose Earthquakes sit 4th on 52 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Houston Dynamo's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to St. Louis City 1–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.3 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

San Jose Earthquakes's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Minnesota United FC 1–5 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

Houston Dynamo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.2.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for Houston Dynamo and 0.8 for San Jose Earthquakes. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Houston Dynamo to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Houston Dynamo 2–0 San Jose Earthquakes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Houston Dynamo68%fair 1.47 · @1.57
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @4.20
San Jose Earthquakes12%fair 8.54 · @4.75
3.05Expected goals
2.22Houston Dynamo xG
0.83San Jose Earthquakes xG
59%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%

From our goals model: Houston Dynamo 2.2 – 0.8 San Jose Earthquakes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHouston Dynamo to win ✗68%1.471.57 ▲
Double chanceHouston Dynamo or draw ✓88%1.131.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.701.55
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81%1.24–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗59%1.70–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.57–
Half-time resultHouston Dynamo ahead at half-time ✗50%1.99–
Half-time / full-timeHT Houston Dynamo / FT Houston Dynamo ✗46%2.20–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12%8.56–

Form

Houston Dynamo – last 6

LWWWWW
23 Aug@ St. Louis City1–2L
20 Aug@ Vancouver Whitecaps1–0W
16 Augvs Los Angeles Galaxy1–0W
8 Aug@ New England Revolution2–0W
2 Aug@ Sporting Kansas City2–0W
26 Julvs Austin3–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

San Jose Earthquakes – last 6

LLLLDL
23 Augvs Minnesota United FC1–5L
20 Aug@ Los Angeles Galaxy0–1L
16 Augvs St. Louis City1–3L
2 Aug@ FC Cincinnati2–4L
26 Julvs Los Angeles Galaxy1–1D
23 Julvs Orlando City SC0–4L
0.8Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Houston Dynamo and San Jose Earthquakes.

Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps341978+4064
2FC Dallas3416108+1158
3St. Louis City3415910+1154
4San Jose Earthquakes34141010+652
5Houston Dynamo3414911051
6Los Angeles FC34121111+1247
7Portland Timbers3413714+146
8Seattle Sounders34121012-246
9Real Salt Lake3413615+145
10Minnesota United FC34111112-244
11Los Angeles Galaxy34111112-744
12Colorado Rapids3412715-343
13San Diego3491114-638
14Austin3481016-2334
15Sporting Kansas City347522-4126

More Major League Soccer predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Our pick is Houston Dynamo to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes?

On our numbers Houston Dynamo have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and San Jose Earthquakes 12%.

How many goals will there be in Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Our predicted score is Houston Dynamo 2–0 San Jose Earthquakes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Shell Energy Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.