New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPhiladelphia Union to win ✓50% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.04
New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union preview and prediction
The match
Philadelphia Union travel to Sports Illustrated Stadium in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 30 August (00:30 WAT) to face New York Red Bulls. New York Red Bulls are 10th with 42 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while Philadelphia Union sit 6th on 50 points (in the top half).
Form guide
New York Red Bulls's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Chicago Fire 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Philadelphia Union's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Austin 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Philadelphia Union arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 July 2026, finished Philadelphia Union 3–1 New York Red Bulls.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.5 for New York Red Bulls and 1.9 for Philadelphia Union. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 69% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: New York Red Bulls 31%, draw 19%, Philadelphia Union 50%.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.36.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: New York Red Bulls 1–2 Philadelphia Union. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
New York Red Bulls31%fair 3.18 · @2.92
Draw19%fair 5.28 · @3.95
Philadelphia Union50%fair 2.01 · @2.12
3.44Expected goals
1.50New York Red Bulls xG
1.94Philadelphia Union xG
69%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–16%
0–26%
From our goals model: New York Red Bulls 1.5 – 1.9 Philadelphia Union expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union?
On our numbers New York Red Bulls have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Philadelphia Union 50%.
How many goals will there be in New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union?
Our predicted score is New York Red Bulls 1–2 Philadelphia Union, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union?
New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Sports Illustrated Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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