New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNew York City FC to win ✗45% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.10
New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union preview and prediction
The match
New York City FC host Philadelphia Union in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 16 August, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT) at Yankee Stadium. New York City FC are 11th with 42 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while Philadelphia Union sit 6th on 50 points (in the top half).
Form guide
New York City FC's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Necaxa 1–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Philadelphia Union's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Santos Laguna 0–2 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.7 for New York City FC and 1.4 for Philadelphia Union. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: New York City FC 45%, draw 20%, Philadelphia Union 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: New York City FC 1–1 Philadelphia Union. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
New York City FC45%fair 2.21 · @2.12
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.70
Philadelphia Union35%fair 2.89 · @3.05
3.06Expected goals
1.65New York City FC xG
1.41Philadelphia Union xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–06%
From our goals model: New York City FC 1.7 – 1.4 Philadelphia Union expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
New York City FC to win✗
45%
2.21
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.48
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.55
–
Half-time / full-time
HT New York City FC / FT New York City FC✗
26%
3.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.10
–
Form
New York City FC – last 6
LLWDWW
14 Aug
vs Necaxa
1–2
L
10 Aug
@ Cruz Azul
1–2
L
7 Aug
vs Santos Laguna
2–0
W
1 Aug
vs Toronto FC
1–1
D
26 Jul
vs Chicago Fire
3–1
W
23 Jul
@ Columbus Crew
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Philadelphia Union – last 6
LWLWWW
14 Aug
vs Santos Laguna
0–2
L
10 Aug
vs Necaxa
3–1
W
7 Aug
@ Cruz Azul
0–1
L
2 Aug
vs Atlanta United FC
3–2
W
26 Jul
vs Seattle Sounders
1–0
W
23 Jul
vs New York Red Bulls
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between New York City FC and Philadelphia Union.
What is the prediction for New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union?
On our numbers New York City FC have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Philadelphia Union 35%.
How many goals will there be in New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union?
Our predicted score is New York City FC 1–1 Philadelphia Union, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union?
New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Yankee Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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