Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
2
Value bet: New York Red Bulls to win @ 3.25 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtlanta United FC to win ✓43% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.57
Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls preview and prediction
The match
New York Red Bulls travel to Mercedes-Benz Stadium in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 16 August (00:30 WAT) to face Atlanta United FC. Atlanta United FC are 13th with 33 points from 34 games (in the bottom three), while New York Red Bulls sit 10th on 42 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Atlanta United FC's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Philadelphia Union 2–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.7 conceded.
New York Red Bulls's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Orlando City SC 3–2 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
New York Red Bulls arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.8 for Atlanta United FC and 1.6 for New York Red Bulls. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 67%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atlanta United FC 43%, draw 21%, New York Red Bulls 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.40.
Value angle: New York Red Bulls to win at 3.25 – 36% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Atlanta United FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlanta United FC43%fair 2.32 · @1.97
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.95
New York Red Bulls36%fair 2.78 · @3.25
3.34Expected goals
1.76Atlanta United FC xG
1.59New York Red Bulls xG
67%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Atlanta United FC 1.8 – 1.6 New York Red Bulls expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlanta United FC to win✓
43%
2.32
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.13
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.70
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.69
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlanta United FC / FT Atlanta United FC✗
25%
3.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.57
–
Form
Atlanta United FC – last 6
LLDLLL
2 Aug
@ Philadelphia Union
2–3
L
26 Jul
@ New England Revolution
1–4
L
23 Jul
@ Charlotte
2–2
D
18 Jul
@ Nashville SC
0–1
L
24 May
@ Columbus Crew
0–2
L
20 May
@ Orlando City SC
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
New York Red Bulls – last 6
WLLWDW
2 Aug
vs Orlando City SC
3–2
W
25 Jul
vs Charlotte
0–2
L
23 Jul
@ Philadelphia Union
1–3
L
24 May
@ Sporting Kansas City
2–1
W
17 May
vs New York City FC
1–1
D
14 May
vs Columbus Crew
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlanta United FC and New York Red Bulls.
What is the prediction for Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls?
On our numbers Atlanta United FC have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 21% and New York Red Bulls 36%.
How many goals will there be in Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls?
Our predicted score is Atlanta United FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls?
Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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