Toronto FC vs New England Revolution prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: New England Revolution to win @ 3.31 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultToronto FC to win ✓44% · @2.11
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · fair 1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.88
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.17
Toronto FC vs New England Revolution preview and prediction
The match
New England Revolution travel to BMO Field in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 16 August (00:30 WAT) to face Toronto FC. Toronto FC are 12th with 39 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while New England Revolution sit 3rd on 58 points (in the top four). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Toronto FC's last 5: DLDDL Most recently they drew with New York City FC 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
New England Revolution's last 5: LDWDL Most recently they lost to Houston Dynamo 0–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
New England Revolution arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 July 2026, finished New England Revolution 0–0 Toronto FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.6 for Toronto FC and 1.4 for New England Revolution. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Toronto FC 44%, draw 20%, New England Revolution 35%.
Value angle: New England Revolution to win at 3.31 – 35% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Toronto FC 1–1 New England Revolution. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Toronto FC44%fair 2.25 · @2.11
Draw20%fair 4.88 · @3.63
New England Revolution35%fair 2.85 · @3.31
2.95Expected goals
1.58Toronto FC xG
1.37New England Revolution xG
53%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Toronto FC 1.6 – 1.4 New England Revolution expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Toronto FC vs New England Revolution?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Toronto FC vs New England Revolution?
On our numbers Toronto FC have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 20% and New England Revolution 35%.
How many goals will there be in Toronto FC vs New England Revolution?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toronto FC vs New England Revolution?
Our predicted score is Toronto FC 1–1 New England Revolution, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Toronto FC vs New England Revolution?
Toronto FC vs New England Revolution (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at BMO Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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