San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2
Value bet: St. Louis City to win @ 3.20 – our chance 37% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Jose Earthquakes to win ✗41% · @2.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.60
San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City preview and prediction
The match
San Jose Earthquakes host St. Louis City in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 16 August, with kick-off at 03:30 (WAT) at PayPal Park. San Jose Earthquakes are 4th with 52 points from 34 games (in the top four), while St. Louis City sit 3rd on 54 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
San Jose Earthquakes's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to FC Cincinnati 2–4 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.3 conceded.
St. Louis City's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Real Salt Lake 1–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
St. Louis City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 April 2026, finished St. Louis City 2–3 San Jose Earthquakes.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.6 for San Jose Earthquakes and 1.5 for St. Louis City. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Jose Earthquakes 41%, draw 21%, St. Louis City 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.45.
Value angle: St. Louis City to win at 3.20 – 37% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 St. Louis City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Jose Earthquakes41%fair 2.41 · @2.02
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.85
St. Louis City37%fair 2.67 · @3.20
3.14Expected goals
1.62San Jose Earthquakes xG
1.52St. Louis City xG
63%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–27%
From our goals model: San Jose Earthquakes 1.6 – 1.5 St. Louis City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Jose Earthquakes to win✗
41%
2.41
2.02
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.62
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Jose Earthquakes / FT San Jose Earthquakes✗
What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City?
On our numbers San Jose Earthquakes have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and St. Louis City 37%.
How many goals will there be in San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City?
Our predicted score is San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 St. Louis City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City?
San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time) at PayPal Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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